Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Shady Point, Oklahoma: A Study of Rare Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Shady Point, located in Oklahoma, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2017 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated between 0 and 1 incident annually, showing no clear trend of increase or decrease. During this same period, the population experienced modest changes, starting at 1,598 in 2017 and ending at 1,689 in 2022, representing a 5.7% increase.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2017 to 2022. This absence of murders translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the observed period. The percentage of state crime for this category remained at 0% throughout, indicating that the city did not contribute to Oklahoma's murder statistics during these years.
Similarly, rape incidents were consistently reported as zero from 2017 to 2022. The rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for rape both remained at 0% throughout the period. This suggests that the city has been successful in preventing or not experiencing reported rape cases during this time frame.
Robbery trends showed a single incident in 2019, with zero cases in all other years from 2017 to 2022. This isolated event resulted in a rate of approximately 0.60 robberies per 1,000 people in 2019, based on that year's population of 1,665. The percentage of state crime for robbery spiked to 0.04% in 2019, returning to 0% in subsequent years. This indicates that while robbery is rare, the city is not entirely immune to such incidents.
Aggravated assault trends fluctuated over the years. There was one incident each in 2017, 2020, and 2021, with zero cases in 2018, 2019, and 2022. The rate per 1,000 people for years with incidents ranged from 0.58 to 0.63, depending on the population. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault was 0.01% in years with incidents, indicating a minimal contribution to the state's overall aggravated assault figures.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and violent crime incidents. Years with higher population density (2020 and 2021) saw aggravated assault cases, while years with lower density (2018 and 2022) had no reported violent crimes. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions due to the low number of incidents overall.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low and inconsistent number of incidents. However, based on the historical data, it's reasonable to predict that the city may continue to experience between 0 to 1 violent crime incidents annually, with aggravated assault being the most likely type of violent crime to occur.
In summary, Shady Point demonstrates a remarkably low violent crime rate across all categories. The most significant discovery is the consistent absence of murder and rape, coupled with very rare occurrences of robbery and aggravated assault. These findings suggest that the city maintains a relatively safe environment for its residents, with violent crime being an infrequent occurrence rather than a persistent issue.
