Robbery trends in McLouth mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents throughout the analyzed period. The robbery rate per 1,000 people stayed at 0, and the city's share of state robbery statistics remained at 0%. This consistent absence of robberies, even as the population fluctuated, indicates a high level of community safety and effective crime prevention measures.

Aggravated assault emerges as the primary component of violent crime in McLouth. In 2010, there were 7 reported cases, representing 0.11% of the state's aggravated assaults. This translates to a rate of 2.66 per 1,000 people. The number of assaults decreased dramatically to 0 in 2011, then fluctuated between 1 and 3 cases in subsequent years. By 2022, there was 1 reported aggravated assault, accounting for 0.01% of the state's total and a rate of 0.43 per 1,000 people. This represents an 85.71% decrease in aggravated assaults from 2010 to 2022, outpacing the population decline and indicating a significant improvement in public safety.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals interesting patterns. The decrease in violent crime, particularly aggravated assaults, coincides with a slight increase in racial diversity. The percentage of white residents decreased from 96% in 2013 to 91% in 2022, while the Hispanic population increased from 2% to 3%, and those identifying as two or more races increased from 0% to 4%. This suggests that increasing diversity may have contributed to or coincided with improved community safety.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's projected that McLouth will likely maintain its low crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). The consistent absence of murders, rapes, and robberies is expected to continue. Aggravated assaults may fluctuate between 0 and 2 cases annually, with a potential further decrease in the city's contribution to state totals, possibly dropping below 0.01%.

In summary, McLouth has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in violent crime rates over the past decade, particularly in reducing aggravated assaults. The persistent absence of other violent crimes underscores the city's evolution into a safer community. This positive trend, coupled with increasing diversity, suggests that McLouth is well-positioned to maintain its status as a low-crime area in the coming years, offering residents a secure environment despite its small size and rural setting.