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Violent Crime Trends in Marlette, Michigan: A Decade of Improvement in a Small City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Marlette, located in Michigan, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2012 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, starting at 14 in 2012 and ending at 5 in 2022, representing a 64.3% decrease. During this same period, the population decreased from 2,160 to 2,261, a slight increase of 4.7%.
In terms of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2012 to 2022. This translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the period, indicating a remarkably safe environment in this aspect of violent crime. The percentage of state crime for this category has remained at 0% throughout the decade, suggesting that Marlette has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have shown a variable trend. In 2012, there were 4 reported cases, which decreased to 1 case in 2022. This represents a 75% decrease over the decade. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 1.85 in 2012 to 0.44 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for rape has fluctuated, peaking at 0.21% in 2012 and dropping to 0.03% in 2022. This suggests that while rape incidents have decreased, they still contribute a small but notable portion to the state's total.
Robbery in Marlette has been rare, with only one incident reported in 2019. This single case represented 0.02% of the state's robberies for that year. The rate per 1,000 people was 0.41 in 2019, an anomaly in an otherwise robbery-free decade. This indicates that robbery is not a significant concern for the city's residents.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2012, there were 10 cases, which decreased to 4 cases in 2022, a 60% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 4.63 in 2012 to 1.77 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault has fluctuated, ranging from 0.05% in 2012 to 0.02% in 2022. This trend suggests that while aggravated assault has decreased, it remains the primary violent crime concern in the city.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,337 per square mile in 2012 to 1,400 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also showed a general downward trend. However, the relationship is not perfectly linear, suggesting other factors may influence crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Marlette could see a further reduction in violent crimes. The model suggests that aggravated assaults could potentially decrease to 2-3 incidents per year, while rape cases might stabilize at 0-1 per year. Robbery is predicted to remain rare or non-existent. The overall violent crime rate is projected to potentially drop below 2 incidents per 1,000 residents.
In summary, Marlette has experienced a significant decrease in violent crimes over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults and rapes. The absence of murders and the rarity of robberies contribute to a relatively safe environment. The city's violent crime trends appear to be improving faster than its population is changing, suggesting effective law enforcement strategies or community initiatives may be in place. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
