Robbery trends show minimal activity. The only reported robberies occurred in 2017, with two cases representing 0.03% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.81 robberies per 1,000 people for that year. The absence of robberies in other years suggests this was an anomaly rather than a trend.

Aggravated assault has been the most consistent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases ranged from 0 to 5 over the years, with the highest number reported in 2021. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault peaked at 0.03% in 2021. The rate per 1,000 people varied, reaching a maximum of 2.06 in 2021. Despite some fluctuations, there's a slight upward trend in aggravated assaults over time.

When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,368 per square mile in 2010 to 1,476 in 2022, there was a general, though inconsistent, upward trend in violent crimes. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see a slight increase in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults. The model suggests there could be 6-7 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assaults potentially accounting for 4-5 of these incidents.

In summary, Mansfield has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent form of violent crime. While there have been isolated incidents of more serious crimes like murder and rape, these remain infrequent. The slight upward trend in aggravated assaults and the projected increase in overall violent crimes suggest a need for continued vigilance and preventive measures in the coming years.