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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Level Plains, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 12 incidents in 2010 to 11 incidents in 2022, representing an 8.33% reduction. During this same timeframe, the population grew from 2,240 in 2010 to 3,096 in 2022, a significant increase of 38.21%.
Examining murder trends, the city has consistently maintained a zero-murder rate throughout the observed period. This statistic remains unchanged despite population growth, indicating a consistently safe environment in terms of homicides. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have shown variability over the years. The highest number of reported rapes was 3 in both 2013 and 2015, while many years saw no reported incidents. The rape rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.96 in 2013 and 0.95 in 2015. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics was most significant in these years, at 0.26% and 0.24% respectively. However, by 2022, there were no reported rape incidents, indicating a positive trend in recent years.
Robbery trends in the area have been relatively low and sporadic. The highest number of robberies recorded was 2 in 2015, with most years reporting zero incidents. The robbery rate per 1,000 people reached its peak at 0.64 in 2015. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has been minimal, with the highest percentage being 0.08% in 2022, when one robbery was reported.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, with the highest count of 12 incidents in both 2010 and 2017. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people was highest in 2010 at 5.36, decreasing to 3.23 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has varied, peaking at 0.2% in 2010 and settling at 0.09% in 2022.
Analyzing correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 730 per square mile in 2010 to 1,009 per square mile in 2022, the overall violent crime rate showed some fluctuations but generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the changing racial demographics and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 66% in 2013 to 49% in 2022, and the black population increased from 12% to 25% in the same period, violent crime rates showed some variability but ultimately decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continuation of the overall decreasing trend in violent crimes. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that the total number of violent crimes could further decrease to around 8-9 incidents per year by 2029. This prediction assumes that current socio-economic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain relatively constant.
In summary, Level Plains has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction despite significant population growth. The consistent absence of murders, the recent decline in rape incidents, and the relatively low robbery rates are particularly noteworthy. While aggravated assaults remain the primary concern, their frequency relative to the population has decreased over time. These trends, coupled with changing demographics and increasing population density, suggest that the city has been effective in managing public safety amidst growth and change.