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Violent Crime Decline in Snead, Alabama: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Snead, Alabama, a small community, has experienced a significant decrease in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city decreased by 87.5%, from 8 incidents to 1, while the population increased by 0.95%, from 2,618 to 2,643 residents.
The murder rate in Snead has remained consistently low. Throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022, there were no reported murders, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people. This rate remained unchanged despite population fluctuations, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics was consistently at 0%.
Rape incidents in the city showed some variation over time. In 2010, there was 1 reported rape, representing 0.15% of the state's total, with a rate of 0.38 rapes per 1,000 people. The number of rapes fluctuated between 0 and 2 cases annually until 2015. From 2016 to 2022, no rapes were reported, resulting in a 100% decrease compared to 2010. This decline occurred despite population changes, suggesting an improvement in this aspect of public safety.
Robbery trends in Snead remained consistently low throughout the observed period. From 2010 to 2022, there were no reported robberies in the city. This resulted in a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and a 0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics, regardless of population changes.
Aggravated assault trends showed the most variation among violent crimes in the city. In 2010, there were 7 aggravated assaults, representing 0.12% of the state's total, with a rate of 2.67 assaults per 1,000 people. The number of assaults peaked in 2012 with 10 incidents (0.09% of state total) but then declined sharply. By 2022, there was only 1 reported aggravated assault, representing 0.01% of the state's total and a rate of 0.38 per 1,000 people. This marks an 85.7% decrease in aggravated assaults from 2010 to 2022, a significant improvement in public safety.
Analysis of correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate negative correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As population density decreased from 461 per square mile in 2010 to 465 in 2022, violent crimes also generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between median rent and violent crime rates. As median rent increased from $535 in 2013 to $693 in 2022, violent crime rates showed some fluctuations but generally decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued low level of violent crime in Snead. Based on the current trends, it's projected that the city may maintain an average of 1-2 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent crime. However, given the small population and low crime numbers, even minor fluctuations could significantly impact these projections.
In summary, Snead has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in violent crime rates over the past decade, with significant reductions in most categories of violent crime. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with the substantial decrease in aggravated assaults, suggests a trend towards increased public safety. These positive changes have occurred despite modest population growth, indicating effective crime prevention strategies or improved community dynamics in this small Alabama town.
