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Violent Crime Trends in Ironton, Ohio: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Ironton, located in Ohio, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade, set against a backdrop of changing population dynamics. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 7 to 15, representing a 114.29% increase. During this same period, the population decreased from 12,903 to 12,135, a decline of 5.95%.
Murder rates in the city have remained relatively low, with only two reported incidents over the 12-year period. In 2014 and 2019, there was one murder each year, representing 0.27% and 0.23% of the state's total murders, respectively. The murder rate per 1,000 people was 0.077 in 2014 and 0.076 in 2019. Given the rarity of these events, it's challenging to establish a consistent trend, but it's notable that the city has maintained a very low murder rate overall.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, with a peak of 10 cases in 2018 (0.26% of state total) and a low of 2 cases in 2013, 2017, 2019, and 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0.15 in 2013 to 0.75 in 2018. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend shows a decrease, with 2 reported cases in 2022 compared to 6 in 2014, representing a 66.67% decrease over this period.
Robbery incidents have shown a slight upward trend, increasing from 2 cases in 2010 to 4 in 2022, a 100% increase. The robbery rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.15 in 2010 to 0.33 in 2022. The city's share of state robberies has also increased, from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2022, indicating a growing proportion of Ohio's robberies occurring in this city.
Aggravated assault cases have seen significant fluctuations. From 3 cases in 2010, it peaked at 16 cases in 2015 before declining to 9 cases in 2022. This represents a 200% increase from 2010 to 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.23 in 2010 to 0.74 in 2022. The city's share of state aggravated assaults rose from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.05% in 2022, indicating a slightly increasing proportion of these crimes occurring in the city relative to the state.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's demographic shifts and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage increased from 90% in 2013 to 95% in 2022, the overall violent crime rate showed some fluctuation but generally increased. This suggests that demographic changes may have some influence on crime patterns, though the relationship is complex and may involve other factors not captured in the available data.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 18-20 incidents annually. This forecast assumes current trends continue without significant interventions or changes in socio-economic factors.
In summary, Ironton has experienced a complex evolution of violent crime over the past decade. While murder rates have remained consistently low, other categories like robbery and aggravated assault have seen increases. The city's changing demographic composition appears to have some correlation with these trends. As the community continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring and targeted interventions may be necessary to address the slight upward trend in violent crimes projected for the coming years.
