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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Powell, located in Ohio, has experienced notable changes in property crime trends alongside significant population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with 87 incidents in 2010 and 88 in 2022, representing a slight increase of 1.15%. During this same period, the population grew substantially from 22,625 in 2010 to 28,924 in 2022, an increase of 27.84%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a decreasing trend over time. In 2010, there were 22 burglaries, which decreased to 5 in 2022, representing a 77.27% reduction. When adjusted for population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.97 in 2010 to 0.17 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively low, fluctuating between 0.02% and 0.07% of the state total during this period. This significant decrease in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft incidents have shown more variability but with an overall increasing trend. In 2010, there were 65 larceny-thefts, which increased to 80 in 2022, a 23.08% rise. However, when accounting for population growth, the rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 2.87 in 2010 to 2.77 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft incidents doubled from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, indicating a faster increase in larceny-thefts compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low but shows an increasing trend. From no reported cases in 2010, there were 3 incidents in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0 to 0.10. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts rose from 0% to 0.01%, suggesting a slight increase in this type of crime relative to state trends.
Arson incidents have been sporadic and infrequent in the city. There were no reported cases in 2010 and 2022, with occasional single incidents in some intervening years. The city's contribution to state arson cases fluctuated between 0% and 0.13%, indicating that arson is not a significant ongoing concern for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's median income increased from $134,166 in 2013 to $151,050 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in burglaries. This suggests that rising affluence may contribute to better security measures or reduced motivation for property crimes. The percentage of owner-occupied housing remained high and stable, ranging from 88% to 92% between 2013 and 2022, which may contribute to community stability and lower crime rates.
Racial distribution changes, particularly the increase in Asian population from 8% in 2013 to 9% in 2022, and the slight decrease in white population from 88% to 84% over the same period, do not show a strong correlation with property crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of current patterns. Burglaries are likely to remain low, possibly decreasing further to 3-4 incidents annually. Larceny-theft may stabilize around 80-85 incidents per year. Motor vehicle thefts could see a slight increase to 4-5 annual incidents. Arson is expected to remain rare, with 0-1 incidents per year.
In summary, Powell has experienced a significant decrease in burglaries, a moderate increase in larceny-thefts, and relatively stable low rates of motor vehicle theft and arson over the past decade. These trends, coupled with strong population growth and rising median incomes, paint a picture of a community that has effectively managed property crime while undergoing substantial demographic changes. The city's consistently low contribution to state crime figures further underscores its success in maintaining a safe environment for its residents.