Robbery trends in the city have remained consistently low, with no reported robberies throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2021. This absence of robberies, even as the population decreased, suggests that property-related violent crimes are not a significant issue in the community. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has stayed at 0, and the city has maintained a 0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Hornersville. In 2010, there were 2 aggravated assaults, which increased to a peak of 5 in 2015 before declining to 0 in 2021. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching a high of 6.23 per 1,000 in 2015 and dropping to 0 in 2021. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics varied, peaking at 0.03% in 2015 and falling to 0% in 2021. This trend suggests an overall improvement in public safety regarding serious assaults in recent years.

There appears to be a correlation between the declining population density and the overall reduction in violent crimes. As the population density decreased from 1,149 people per square mile in 2010 to 673 in 2021, the total number of violent crimes also generally trended downward. Additionally, the racial composition of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently making up the vast majority (around 90%) of residents. This stability in racial demographics coincides with the overall decrease in violent crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the low crime rates observed in recent years. Given the small population and the sporadic nature of violent crimes in Hornersville, it's projected that the city may experience between 0 to 2 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assaults being the most likely form of violent crime to occur.

In summary, Hornersville has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime rates over the past decade, with most categories of violent crime remaining at zero or showing significant decreases. The isolated incident of rape in 2021 stands out as an anomaly in an otherwise improving safety profile. The correlation between declining population density and reduced violent crime rates suggests that the city's shrinking population may have contributed to improved safety outcomes. As Hornersville continues to evolve, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the well-being of its residents and the city's overall development.