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Violent Crime Trends in Holton, Kansas: A Decade of Decreasing Incidents Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Holton, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 9 incidents in 2010 to 3 in 2022, representing a 66.67% reduction. During this same period, the population grew from 3,751 in 2010 to 4,119 in 2022, an increase of 9.81%.
Regarding murder trends, Holton has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This statistic remains unchanged despite the population growth, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the years. The city's contribution to the state's murder rate has consistently been 0%, indicating a positive aspect of public safety in the community.
Rape incidents in the city have shown variability over the years. The highest number of reported rapes was 2 in both 2013 and 2018, while several years, including 2022, recorded zero incidents. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching a peak of 0.52 per 1,000 in 2013 and dropping to 0 in 2022. The city's percentage of state rape crimes varied, with the highest being 0.29% in 2013 and dropping to 0% in recent years, including 2022.
Robbery trends in Holton have been relatively low, with most years reporting zero incidents. However, there was a spike in 2020 with 2 robberies reported, representing 0.8% of the state's robberies that year. This translates to a rate of 0.49 robberies per 1,000 people in 2020. By 2022, the robbery rate returned to 0, aligning with the trend observed in most other years.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of incidents peaked at 10 in 2015 and 2020, representing rates of 2.49 and 2.44 per 1,000 people, respectively. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases reached its highest at 0.36% in 2020. However, by 2022, the number decreased to 3 incidents, or 0.73 per 1,000 people, accounting for 0.04% of the state's cases.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,401 per square mile in 2010 to 1,539 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a slight correlation between changes in racial demographics and crime rates. The percentage of white residents decreased from 90% in 2019 to 81% in 2022, coinciding with a decrease in violent crimes from 5 to 3 during the same period.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029, Holton may experience a further reduction in violent crimes. The model suggests that aggravated assaults could potentially decrease to 1-2 incidents per year, while other violent crimes may continue to remain at or near zero.
In summary, Holton has shown a general trend of decreasing violent crime rates over the past decade, despite population growth. The most significant reductions have been in aggravated assaults, while murder rates have consistently remained at zero. These trends, coupled with the city's minimal contribution to state crime percentages, suggest an improving public safety environment. However, continued vigilance and community engagement will be crucial in maintaining and further improving these positive trends in the coming years.
