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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Henry, located in Tennessee, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. With a population of 1,602 in 2022, this small community has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 3 incidents per year, while the population grew by approximately 0.88% over the same period.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2020. This absence of murders translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has not changed over time. The percentage of state murders attributable to the city also remains at 0%, indicating that Henry has not contributed to Tennessee's murder statistics during this period.
Similarly, the rape statistics for the city show no reported incidents from 2010 to 2020. The rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state rapes both stand at 0%, suggesting that the city has maintained a record free of reported rape cases throughout the decade.
Robbery trends in the community follow the same pattern as murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the city's contribution to state robbery figures both remain at 0% for the entire period.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that shows any activity in the city. From 2010 to 2013, there were no reported cases. However, in 2014, there was a spike with 3 incidents reported, translating to a rate of approximately 2.18 per 1,000 people based on that year's population of 1,378. This represented 0.01% of the state's aggravated assaults for that year. The number decreased to 2 incidents in 2015 and 2016, with rates of 1.38 and 1.49 per 1,000 people, respectively, maintaining the 0.01% share of state incidents. In 2017, there was a further decrease to 1 incident, or 0.69 per 1,000 people, still at 0.01% of state cases. From 2018 to 2020, no aggravated assaults were reported, bringing the rate back to 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state incidents.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and aggravated assault rates. As population density fluctuated between 1,042 and 1,246 people per square mile from 2014 to 2017, the number of aggravated assaults decreased from 3 to 0. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data, it is likely that the city will continue to experience very low levels of violent crime. The model suggests that aggravated assaults may occur sporadically, potentially averaging 0-1 incidents per year, while other categories of violent crime are predicted to remain at or near zero.
In summary, Henry has maintained an exceptionally low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the only category showing any significant activity. The community's small size and stable population likely contribute to this low crime environment. While the city experienced a brief increase in aggravated assaults from 2014 to 2017, the overall trend suggests a return to minimal violent crime incidents. This pattern indicates that Henry remains a relatively safe community with respect to violent crime, a characteristic that may continue in the foreseeable future based on current trends and predictions.