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Violent Crime Trends in Hackleburg: A Small Alabama Town's Fluctuating Safety Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hackleburg, a small community in Alabama, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied, with a notable increase from 1 incident in 2017 to 8 incidents in 2021, followed by a decrease to 1 incident in 2022. This represents an overall decrease of 75% in violent crime incidents from 2010 to 2022. During the same period, the population decreased from 2,256 in 2010 to 2,020 in 2022, a decline of about 10.5%.
The city has not recorded any murders throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This consistent absence of homicides suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime, especially considering the small population size.
Rape incidents in the city have been infrequent but present. The first recorded rape occurred in 2016, with one incident reported. This trend continued in 2017 and 2021, each year also reporting one rape incident. In 2016, when the population was 1,851, the rape rate was approximately 0.54 per 1,000 residents. By 2021, with a population of 2,035, the rate slightly decreased to 0.49 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state rape crimes attributable to the city increased from 0.09% in 2016 and 2017 to 0.13% in 2021, indicating a slight rise in the city's contribution to statewide rape statistics.
Robbery has been consistently absent from the city's crime statistics throughout the observed period. This absence of robberies from 2010 to 2022 suggests that the community has maintained a low risk for this type of crime over the years.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were 4 incidents, which decreased to 3 in 2011 and 2013. A significant spike occurred in 2021 with 7 incidents, followed by a sharp decline to 1 incident in 2022. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, from 1.77 in 2010 to 3.44 in 2021, and then dropping to 0.50 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, peaking at 0.08% in 2021 before falling to 0.01% in 2022.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 147 per square mile in 2010 to 132 in 2022, there was a general trend of decreasing violent crime, with some fluctuations. The spike in violent crime in 2021 coincided with a temporary increase in population density to 133 per square mile.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we might expect the following: Continued low rates of murder and robbery, maintaining the city's trend of zero incidents in these categories. Rape incidents may continue to occur sporadically, potentially averaging one incident every 2-3 years. Aggravated assault is likely to remain the primary form of violent crime, with an average of 2-3 incidents per year, assuming no significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.
In summary, Hackleburg has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common form of violent crime. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with infrequent rape incidents, suggests a generally safe community. However, the fluctuations in aggravated assault rates, particularly the spike in 2021, indicate the need for continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts to maintain and improve public safety in the coming years.
