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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Guin, Alabama, a small city with a population of 3,163 as of 2022, has witnessed a notable improvement in its violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced a 14.29% decrease in violent crimes, despite a 2.96% increase in population. This trend suggests a positive shift in community safety and well-being. The city's violent crime landscape is characterized by the absence of murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This remarkable consistency in maintaining zero homicides contributes significantly to Guin's image as a safe community. The murder rate remained at 0 per 1,000 residents, with the city's contribution to state murder statistics consistently at 0%. Reported rapes in Guin were infrequent, with only four incidents recorded over the 12-year period. These cases occurred in 2011, 2016, 2018, and 2022, each year reporting a single case. The rape rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively stable, standing at 0.32 in both 2011 and 2022. Guin's contribution to state rape statistics was minimal, reaching 0.11% in the years when incidents were reported.
Robbery incidents in Guin were equally rare, with only four reported cases over the 12-year period. The city experienced one robbery each in 2013, 2015, and 2022, with two incidents in 2017. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 0.60 in 2017 and stood at 0.32 in 2022. Although the city's contribution to state robbery statistics increased slightly from 0.03% in 2013 to 0.08% in 2022, these figures remain low in the broader context. Aggravated assaults showed the most variation among violent crimes in Guin. The number of incidents peaked at 15 in 2013, with a rate of 5.01 per 1,000 residents. However, by 2022, this number had significantly decreased to 4 incidents, or 1.26 per 1,000 residents. This represents a substantial 73.33% decrease in aggravated assaults from 2013 to 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics also declined, falling from a high of 0.16% in 2013 to 0.04% in 2022. An interesting correlation emerged between Guin's changing demographics and its violent crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 93% in 2013 to 80% in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults. This trend suggests that the increasing diversity in the city may be associated with lower violent crime rates. Additionally, a modest increase in population density, from 199 per square mile in 2013 to 211 per square mile in 2022, coincided with the overall decrease in violent crime rates. This pattern implies that the slight increase in population density may have contributed to improved community cohesion and reduced violent crime. Looking ahead, predictive models forecast a continued slight decrease in violent crime rates for Guin over the next five years, until 2029. Based on current trends, it is estimated that the city may experience an average of 5 violent crimes per year by 2029, with aggravated assaults remaining the most common type of violent crime. In conclusion, Guin, Alabama has demonstrated an overall improvement in violent crime rates from 2010 to 2022, despite a growing population. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and a significant decrease in aggravated assaults contribute to a safer community environment. The city's increasing diversity and modest population density growth appear to be positively correlated with reduced violent crime rates. If these trends continue, Guin is likely to maintain its relatively low violent crime rates in the coming years, potentially further enhancing its appeal as a safe place to live and work.