Robbery rates in Greenville have consistently remained low, with a maximum of one incident reported in 2010, 2014, 2015, and 2019. These cases represented between 0.03% and 0.05% of Kentucky's total robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people never exceeded 0.11, suggesting that robbery is not a significant concern for residents.

Aggravated assault has shown the most variability among violent crimes in Greenville. The number of incidents ranged from 0 to 7, with the highest count occurring in 2021. This peak represented 0.11% of the state's aggravated assaults that year. The rate per 1,000 people reached its maximum at 0.74 in 2021, a notable increase from previous years. This trend indicates that aggravated assault may be becoming a more pressing issue for law enforcement and community safety initiatives in the city.

A weak positive correlation appears to exist between population density and violent crime rates in Greenville. As the population density increased from 1,664 per square mile in 2019 to 1,830 in 2021, violent crimes also rose from 5 to 8 incidents. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions about causation.

Predictive models suggest that if current patterns continue, Greenville may experience a slight increase in violent crimes over the next five years. By 2029, the total number of violent crimes could potentially reach 8-10 incidents annually, with aggravated assaults likely comprising the majority of these cases.

In summary, Greenville, Kentucky, has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault emerging as the most significant concern. While the overall number of violent crimes has increased, the city's small size means that even minor fluctuations can appear as significant percentage changes. The community and law enforcement should focus on addressing the root causes of aggravated assaults to maintain the generally safe environment that characterizes this small Kentucky city.