Robbery trends have been inconsistent but show an overall decline. The peak was 36 incidents in 2013 (1.22% of state total), dropping to 5 incidents in 2022 (0.7% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has decreased significantly from 0.578 in 2010 to 0.120 in 2022, indicating a substantial improvement in robbery occurrences relative to population size.

Aggravated assault cases have fluctuated but generally decreased over time. The highest number was 121 in 2012 (3.22% of state total), reducing to 28 in 2022 (1.7% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has decreased from 3.180 in 2010 to 0.672 in 2022, showing a notable improvement in this category of violent crime relative to population growth.

There appears to be a correlation between increasing population density and decreasing violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,798 per square mile in 2010 to 2,407 per square mile in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the city has managed to improve public safety despite becoming more densely populated.

Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that violent crime rates will continue to decrease over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of violent crimes could potentially drop below 40 incidents per year, with robbery and murder rates remaining particularly low. However, it's important to note that this prediction assumes current trends and efforts in crime prevention will continue.

In conclusion, Georgetown has demonstrated a remarkable ability to reduce violent crime rates while experiencing substantial population growth. The significant decreases in robbery and aggravated assault rates, coupled with consistently low murder rates, suggest effective law enforcement strategies and community safety initiatives. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the long-term safety and well-being of its residents.