Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Fordland, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable increase from 1 incident in 2010 to 5 incidents in 2020, representing a 400% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 1,763 in 2010 to 2,076 in 2020, an increase of 17.75%.
Regarding murder trends, Fordland has maintained a remarkably consistent record of zero murders reported from 2010 to 2020. This statistic remains unchanged despite the population growth, resulting in a consistent murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state murders attributed to Fordland has remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating that the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Similarly, rape incidents in Fordland have been consistently reported as zero from 2010 to 2020. The rape rate per 1,000 residents has remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's rape statistics has been 0% throughout the decade. This trend suggests that Fordland has maintained a relatively safe environment in terms of sexual violence, despite population growth.
Robbery trends in Fordland mirror those of murder and rape, with zero incidents reported from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents has consistently been 0, and the city's percentage of state robberies has remained at 0%. This trend indicates that Fordland has not experienced issues with robbery crimes during this period, maintaining a safe environment for its residents in this regard.
Aggravated assault has been the primary contributor to violent crime in Fordland. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, starting with 1 incident in 2010, peaking at 5 incidents in 2015, and ending with 5 incidents in 2020. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents increased from 0.57 in 2010 to 2.41 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has varied, ranging from 0% in 2014 and 2017 to 0.03% in 2015 and 2020. This trend suggests that while aggravated assaults have increased, they remain a relatively small proportion of the state's total.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate positive correlation between population density and violent crime incidents. As the population density increased from 1,594 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,877 in 2020, the number of violent crimes also generally increased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak negative correlation between median rent and violent crime. For instance, in 2015 when the median rent dropped to $549, the city experienced its highest number of aggravated assaults (5). However, it's important to note that this correlation is not consistent throughout the entire period.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the upward trend in aggravated assaults. Based on the historical data, we might expect to see between 6 to 8 aggravated assaults annually by 2029, assuming current trends persist and no significant interventions are implemented.
In summary, Fordland has experienced a notable increase in violent crimes over the past decade, primarily driven by aggravated assaults. While the city has maintained zero incidents of murder, rape, and robbery, the rise in aggravated assaults warrants attention. The correlation between population density and violent crime suggests that as the city continues to grow, proactive measures may be necessary to mitigate potential increases in violent crime incidents.