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Violent Crime Trends in Dobson: A Decade of Low Rates and Demographic Shifts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Dobson, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, ranging from a low of 1 in 2016 to a high of 6 in 2013. Concurrently, the population experienced modest growth, increasing from 5,402 in 2010 to 5,134 in 2022, representing a 4.96% decrease over this period.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently low, with no reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has been stable despite population changes. The percentage of state crime for murder has consistently been 0%, indicating that the city has not contributed to North Carolina's murder statistics during this time.
Rape data for the city is largely unavailable, with only two reported incidents in 2021 and 2022, both representing 0.05% of the state's total. This limited data makes it difficult to establish a clear trend or relationship with population changes. The rate of rape per 1,000 people was approximately 0.19 in 2021 and 0.19 in 2022, showing consistency in the short term.
Robbery incidents have been rare in the city. There were two reported cases in 2011 (0.03% of state crime) and one in 2017 (0.02% of state crime). In other years, including 2021 and 2022, no robberies were reported. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.37 in 2011 and was 0.21 in 2017, with zero rates in most other years. This indicates a generally low and inconsistent robbery trend.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases varied from 1 to 5 between 2010 and 2022. The highest number was recorded in 2013 with 5 cases (0.04% of state crime), while the lowest was 1 case in 2016 and 2017 (0.01% of state crime each year). In 2022, there were 2 cases (0.01% of state crime). The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated, peaking at 1.02 in 2013 and dropping to 0.21 in 2016. In 2022, the rate was 0.39 per 1,000 people.
There appears to be a weak correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As population density decreased from 2,660 per square mile in 2010 to 2,528 in 2022, violent crime rates showed no consistent pattern. Similarly, changes in racial distribution, particularly the increase in Hispanic population from 15% in 2013 to 24% in 2022, and the decrease in white population from 81% to 69% over the same period, do not show a strong correlation with violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in the city will likely remain low and relatively stable over the next seven years (up to 2029). Aggravated assault is expected to continue being the most common form of violent crime, potentially fluctuating between 1 to 3 cases annually. Murder rates are predicted to remain at or near zero, while robbery and rape incidents are expected to remain rare and sporadic.
In summary, Dobson has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city's contribution to state crime percentages has remained minimal across all categories of violent crime. Despite demographic changes, the overall violent crime trend has not shown significant shifts, suggesting a generally stable public safety environment in this small North Carolina town.
