Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Dellwood, Missouri: A Tale of Mixed Progress
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Dellwood, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study for violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2011, the total number of violent crimes decreased slightly from 36 to 34, representing a 5.56% reduction. During this same timeframe, the city's population declined from 8,179 to 7,773, a decrease of 4.96%.
The murder rate in Dellwood shows a notable change between 2010 and 2011. In 2010, there was one reported murder, which equated to 0.12 murders per 1,000 residents. This single incident represented 0.3% of the state's murders that year. However, in 2011, there were no reported murders, resulting in a 100% decrease. This reduction, while positive, should be interpreted cautiously given the small sample size and short time frame.
Regarding rape statistics, the data provided shows no reported cases in either 2010 or 2011. This absence of reported rapes results in a 0% contribution to the state's rape statistics for both years. While this might seem positive, it's important to consider potential underreporting or classification issues that could affect these figures.
Robbery trends show an increase from 2010 to 2011. In 2010, there were 13 robberies reported, or 1.59 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.23% of the state's robberies. In 2011, this number increased to 17 robberies, or 2.19 per 1,000 residents, representing 0.29% of the state's robberies. This indicates a 30.77% increase in robberies, despite the population decrease.
Aggravated assault cases decreased from 22 in 2010 to 17 in 2011. This represents a reduction from 2.69 to 2.19 assaults per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state-wide aggravated assaults decreased from 0.15% to 0.12%. This 22.73% decrease in aggravated assaults is a positive trend, especially considering the smaller population decline.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 7,890 per square mile in 2010 to 7,498 in 2011, there was a corresponding decrease in overall violent crimes. Additionally, the racial composition of the city, particularly the high percentage of Black residents (79% in 2014, the earliest year with available data), may be relevant to understanding crime trends in the context of broader socioeconomic factors.
Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, it's challenging to make accurate long-term forecasts. However, if the trends observed between 2010 and 2011 were to continue, we might expect to see a continued slight decrease in overall violent crimes by 2029. This projection should be treated with caution due to the limited historical data and potential for intervening factors.
In summary, Dellwood experienced a slight overall decrease in violent crimes from 2010 to 2011, with notable reductions in murders and aggravated assaults, but an increase in robberies. The relationship between population density and crime rates suggests that demographic changes may play a role in shaping the city's crime landscape. These trends, while based on limited data, provide insights into the evolving nature of public safety in Dellwood and may inform future crime prevention strategies.
