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Violent Crime Trends in Crocker, Missouri: A Small City's Journey to Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Crocker, a city in Missouri, has witnessed significant changes in violent crime rates and population over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated considerably, reaching a peak of 16 in 2013 and dropping to zero in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease in violent crime over this period. Simultaneously, the population decreased from 3,342 in 2010 to 2,767 in 2022, a 17.2% reduction.
Murder trends in the city show isolated incidents rather than a consistent pattern. Only two cases were reported: one in 2018 and another in 2021. These translate to rates of 0.30 murders per 1,000 people in 2018 and 0.34 per 1,000 in 2021. In both years, the city's contribution to state murders was 0.21%, indicating a disproportionate share relative to its population size.
Rape incidents in Crocker have been infrequent, with only one reported case each in 2011, 2012, and 2021. The rate per 1,000 people was 0.30 in 2011, 0.31 in 2012, and 0.34 in 2021. The city's contribution to state rape cases showed a decreasing trend, from 0.09% in 2011 to 0.05% in 2021, despite population fluctuations.
Robbery has been equally rare in Crocker, with only one case reported in 2012 and another in 2014. These incidents resulted in rates of 0.31 and 0.33 per 1,000 people respectively. The city's contribution to state robbery cases was 0.02% in both years, indicating a minimal impact on statewide statistics.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in Crocker, with numbers fluctuating significantly. The highest count was 16 cases in 2013, representing a rate of 5.11 per 1,000 people and 0.11% of state cases. The lowest recent count was zero in 2022. A general downward trend is observed, with 2013 appearing as an anomalous year. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases has generally decreased over time, from 0.03% in 2010 to 0% in 2022.
A notable correlation exists between population density and violent crime rates in Crocker. As the population density decreased from 2,690 per square mile in 2010 to 2,227 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in violent crimes. This suggests that lower population density may contribute to reduced violent crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models based on recent trends, it's projected that violent crime rates in Crocker will remain low or potentially reach zero consistently by 2029, five years from now. This forecast is based on the decreasing trend observed in recent years, particularly the zero violent crimes reported in 2022.
In summary, Crocker has shown a significant overall reduction in violent crime rates from 2010 to 2022, with the most notable decrease in aggravated assaults. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has generally decreased across all categories of violent crime. These trends, coupled with the declining population density, suggest a potentially safer environment for residents. However, the sporadic nature of some crimes, particularly murders and rapes, indicates that while overall trends are positive, isolated incidents can still occur and impact the city's crime statistics significantly in any given year.
