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Violent Crime Trends in Cortland, Ohio: A Decade of Stability Amidst Population Changes
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Cortland, located in Ohio, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 7 incidents in 2010 to 4 in 2022, representing a 42.86% reduction. During this same period, the population experienced a slight decline, from 10,568 in 2010 to 10,038 in 2022, a 5.02% decrease.
Regarding murder trends, Cortland has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population fluctuations. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0%. This absence of murders speaks positively to the city's safety profile.
Rape incidents in the city have shown variability over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported rape, which dropped to 0 in 2011 and 2014. The rate fluctuated between 0 and 1 incident per year, with the most recent data for 2022 showing 0 rapes. When rapes did occur, they represented between 0.04% and 0.06% of the state's total. The rape rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 0.095, indicating a relatively low incidence relative to the population.
Robbery trends in Cortland have shown a general decline. From 2 incidents in 2010, robberies decreased to 0 in several years, including 2022. The highest number of robberies (2) occurred in 2010 and 2013. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.189 in 2010 and has since decreased, reaching 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has remained low, never exceeding 0.02% when robberies did occur.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of incidents varied from a high of 4 in 2010 and 2020 to a low of 0 in 2017. In 2022, there were 4 aggravated assaults reported. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, peaking at 0.398 in 2020 and settling at 0.398 again in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has remained relatively low, ranging from 0% to 0.03% over the years.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,440 per square mile in 2010 to 2,318 in 2022, violent crime rates showed no consistent trend, suggesting other factors may have more significant influences on crime rates in this city.
Racial demographics show a correlation with violent crime trends. The city has maintained a predominantly white population, with the percentage decreasing slightly from 98% in 2017 to 90% in 2022. During this period, there was a slight increase in diversity, particularly in the "two or more races" category, which grew from 0% to 5%. This gradual diversification coincided with some fluctuations in violent crime rates, but no clear causal relationship can be established without further analysis.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Cortland will likely remain relatively stable over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of violent crimes is expected to fluctuate between 1 and 6 incidents per year, with aggravated assaults potentially remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Cortland has maintained a relatively low and stable violent crime profile from 2010 to 2022. The absence of murders, low rates of rape and robbery, and fluctuating but manageable levels of aggravated assault paint a picture of a generally safe community. The slight population decline and gradual racial diversification have not significantly impacted violent crime trends. As the city moves forward, maintaining community policing efforts and addressing socioeconomic factors that influence crime rates will be crucial in preserving the overall safety and well-being of Cortland's residents.
