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Violent Crime Trends in Calvin, Oklahoma: A Study of Rarity in a Small Town
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Calvin, located in Oklahoma, is a small community with a population that has fluctuated over recent years, reaching 860 residents in 2022. The violent crime trends in this town present an interesting case study, with significant changes observed over a short period. From 2020 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in Calvin varied considerably. In 2020, there were no reported violent crimes. This changed in 2021 when the town experienced one violent crime incident, representing a 100% increase. However, in 2022, the number of violent crimes dropped back to zero, a 100% decrease from the previous year. During this same period, the population fluctuated, decreasing from 921.5 in 2020 to 860 in 2022, a 6.67% decline.
Examining the specific types of violent crimes, there were no reported incidents of murder, rape, or robbery in Calvin from 2020 to 2022. The data shows zero cases for each of these categories throughout the three-year period. This consistency indicates a remarkably low rate of these serious violent crimes in the community.
The only type of violent crime reported during this period was aggravated assault, which occurred solely in 2021. In that year, there was one case of aggravated assault, which translated to a rate of approximately 0.99 incidents per 1,000 people, given the population of 1,014 in 2021. This single incident represented 0.01% of the state's total aggravated assaults for that year. In both 2020 and 2022, there were no reported cases of aggravated assault, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's total for those years.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the limited data and the rarity of violent crime incidents make it challenging to establish strong connections. However, it's worth noting that the single violent crime incident in 2021 coincided with the highest population (1,014) recorded during the three-year period. This could suggest a potential, albeit weak, correlation between population size and the likelihood of violent crime occurrence.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited data and the extreme fluctuations observed. However, based on the current trend of very low crime rates, it's reasonable to predict that Calvin will likely continue to experience very few, if any, violent crimes in the coming years. The forecast suggests that the town may see between 0 to 1 violent crime incidents annually, with aggravated assault being the most likely type if any occur.
In summary, Calvin demonstrates an exceptionally low rate of violent crime. The most significant finding is the absence of murder, rape, and robbery over the observed period, with only a single case of aggravated assault in 2021. This suggests that the community maintains a relatively safe environment for its residents. However, the fluctuation in crime rates, albeit minimal, underscores the importance of continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts to maintain this low crime status in the future.
