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Violent Crime Trends in Brookfield, Missouri: A Tale of Contrasts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Brookfield, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime numbers, with a notable increase from 10 incidents in 2010 to 13 in 2022, representing a 30% rise. During this same period, the population decreased from 5,198 in 2010 to 4,912 in 2022, a 5.5% reduction.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population decline. The city's murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and its percentage of state murders has consistently been 0%. This trend suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime.
Rape incidents have shown significant variability over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which increased to 6 in 2022, a 500% increase. When adjusting for population changes, the rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.19 in 2010 to 1.22 in 2022. The city's percentage of state rape cases also increased substantially, from 0.09% in 2010 to 0.28% in 2022. This trend indicates a concerning rise in sexual violence that outpaces the state average.
Robbery trends show a different pattern. The city experienced 1 robbery in 2010, which dropped to 0 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.19 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's percentage of state robberies also declined from 0.02% to 0%. This trend suggests an improvement in property-related violent crimes.
Aggravated assault cases have shown fluctuations but overall remained relatively stable. There were 8 cases in 2010, which decreased slightly to 7 in 2022. However, due to the population decline, the rate per 1,000 people actually increased from 1.54 in 2010 to 1.42 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults decreased slightly from 0.06% to 0.04%. This trend indicates a persistent issue with assaults, despite the slight numerical decrease.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,216 per square mile in 2010 to 1,149 in 2022, violent crime rates per capita increased. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between the slight increase in racial diversity and the rise in violent crime. The percentage of white residents decreased from 95% in 2016 to 94% in 2022, coinciding with the overall increase in violent crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued slight increase in overall violent crime rates if current trends persist. The rape and aggravated assault rates are likely to continue their upward trajectory, while robbery rates may remain low or occasionally spike. The murder rate is expected to remain at or near zero.
In summary, Brookfield has experienced a complex evolution in its violent crime landscape. While the absence of murders is a positive aspect, the significant increase in rape cases and the persistent level of aggravated assaults are concerning trends that warrant attention. The inverse relationship between population density and crime rates suggests that as the city's population continues to decline, crime rates per capita may continue to rise. These trends highlight the need for targeted interventions, particularly in addressing sexual violence and assault prevention, to ensure the safety and well-being of the community in the coming years.
