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Violent Crime Trends in Braymer, Missouri: A Decade of Dramatic Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Braymer, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. With a population of 882 in 2022, this small city has experienced significant fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 1 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During the same period, the population declined from 1,106 to 882, a decrease of approximately 20.3%.
The murder rate in Braymer has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2018. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population decline. The murder rate per 1,000 people has consequently remained at 0, and the city has consistently contributed 0% to the state's murder statistics. This absence of murders suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of lethal violence, despite the changing demographics.
Similarly, the rape statistics for Braymer show no reported cases from 2010 to 2018. The rape rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, with the city contributing 0% to the state's rape statistics throughout this period. This consistent absence of reported rapes is a positive indicator for the city's safety, particularly considering the declining population which could potentially increase vulnerability in some contexts.
Robbery trends in Braymer mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported cases from 2010 to 2018. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has maintained a 0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics. This consistent lack of robberies, even as the population decreased, suggests a community that has managed to maintain a low property crime environment.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that shows any activity in Braymer during the observed period. In 2010, there was 1 reported case of aggravated assault, representing a rate of 0.90 per 1,000 people and contributing 0.01% to the state's aggravated assault statistics. However, from 2012 to 2018, no aggravated assaults were reported, reducing the rate to 0 per 1,000 people and the state contribution to 0%. This dramatic decrease from an already low number indicates a significant improvement in public safety regarding violent confrontations.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship is with population density. As the population density decreased from 1,871 per square mile in 2010 to 1,492 in 2022, the occurrence of violent crimes also dropped to zero. This suggests that the reduction in population density may have contributed to the elimination of the few violent crimes that did occur at the beginning of the decade.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the consistent zero or near-zero crime rates observed in recent years, it is reasonable to project that Braymer will likely maintain its low violent crime rates. The forecast suggests a continued absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, with a possibility of sporadic, isolated incidents of aggravated assault not exceeding 1 case per year, if any.
In summary, Braymer has demonstrated a remarkably positive trend in violent crime reduction. The most significant discovery is the complete elimination of reported violent crimes since 2012, despite a declining population. This trend suggests that Braymer has developed or maintained effective community safeguards against violent crime, making it an exceptionally safe small city in Missouri based on these statistics.
