Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Bernie, Missouri: A Decade of Declining Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bernie, located in Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its total violent crime incidents and population. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 7 in 2010 to 1 in 2022, marking an 85.7% reduction. During this same period, the population slightly decreased from 2,268 in 2010 to 2,150 in 2022, a 5.2% decline.
The murder rate in the city has remained remarkably low throughout the observed period. Only one murder was recorded in 2010, representing 0.3% of the state's total murders that year. This translates to a rate of 0.44 murders per 1,000 people. Since then, no murders have been reported, effectively reducing the murder rate to zero and maintaining 0% of the state's total murders. This significant improvement in the murder rate, despite minor population fluctuations, suggests a positive trend in public safety.
Rape incidents in Bernie have consistently been reported as zero from 2010 to 2022. This absence of reported rapes has maintained the city's 0% contribution to the state's total rape cases throughout the period. While this data may seem encouraging, it's important to note that the consistent zero could also indicate potential underreporting or classification issues.
Robbery trends in the city show a decrease over time. In 2010, there was one reported robbery, constituting 0.02% of the state's total robberies. This equated to a rate of 0.44 robberies per 1,000 people. From 2011 onwards, no robberies were reported, reducing the city's contribution to state robberies to 0% and the robbery rate to zero per 1,000 people. This trend suggests an improvement in property-related violent crimes.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were 5 reported cases, representing 0.03% of the state's total. This equated to 2.2 assaults per 1,000 people. The number fluctuated over the years, reaching zero in 2013, 2018, and 2020, but rose again to 1 case in 2022. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend shows a decrease, with the 2022 rate at 0.47 assaults per 1,000 people, representing 0.01% of the state's total.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,734 per square mile in 2010 to 1,643 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also declined. Additionally, there seems to be a weak inverse correlation between median rent and violent crime rates. As median rent increased from $562 in 2013 to $730 in 2022, violent crime rates generally decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (until 2029), we can anticipate a continued low level of violent crimes in Bernie. Based on the current trends, we might expect to see between 0 to 2 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assault remaining the most likely type of violent crime to occur.
In summary, Bernie has shown a significant improvement in its violent crime rates over the past decade. The complete absence of murders and rapes since 2011, coupled with the sharp decline in robberies and aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a city that has made substantial progress in enhancing public safety. These trends, when considered alongside the slight population decrease and changes in population density, suggest that Bernie has effectively managed its crime rates even as it experienced demographic shifts.
