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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bernice, located in Oklahoma, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2015 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in this small community has remained remarkably low, with only one year, 2018, showing any recorded violent crime incidents. During this same period, the population experienced a slight decline, decreasing from 1,690 in 2015 to 1,560 in 2022, a reduction of about 7.7%.
The murder rate in the city has consistently remained at zero from 2015 through 2022. This statistic is particularly notable given the population fluctuations during this period. The absence of murders translates to a consistent rate of 0 per 1,000 residents and represents 0% of the state's murder cases throughout the observed years. This sustained lack of homicides suggests a remarkably safe environment for residents in terms of lethal violence.
Similarly, the rape statistics for the city show no reported incidents from 2015 to 2022. The rate of rape per 1,000 residents has remained at 0, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's rape cases. This absence of reported rapes over an extended period is significant and may indicate effective community safety measures or potentially underreporting issues that would require further investigation.
Robbery trends in the city mirror those of murder and rape, with zero reported incidents from 2015 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents has held steady at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics during this time. The consistent absence of robberies, despite economic fluctuations and population changes, suggests a community with strong social cohesion or effective law enforcement strategies.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that has shown any activity in the city during the observed period. In 2018, there were 4 reported cases of aggravated assault, which equates to a rate of approximately 2.24 per 1,000 residents based on that year's population of 1,785. This single-year spike represented 0.04% of the state's aggravated assault cases for 2018. However, in all other years from 2015 to 2022, there were no reported aggravated assaults, quickly returning to a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents and 0% of state totals.
When examining potential correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the data presents limited opportunities for meaningful analysis due to the consistently low crime rates. However, it's worth noting that the isolated incident of aggravated assaults in 2018 coincided with a period of relative population stability and a median rent of $544, which was lower than the subsequent years. The racial distribution during this time showed a slight decrease in the white population percentage and an increase in the Native American population percentage compared to previous years, but drawing direct correlations would be speculative given the limited data points.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the minimal historical data on violent crimes. However, based on the consistent pattern of zero or near-zero violent crime incidents over the past seven years, it is reasonable to project that the city will likely maintain very low violent crime rates in the coming years, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or external factors.
In summary, Bernice demonstrates an exceptionally low violent crime profile, with only a single year showing any recorded violent crime incidents over a seven-year period. This consistent pattern of safety, coupled with a slightly declining population, paints a picture of a small community that has managed to maintain a secure environment for its residents. The isolated incident of aggravated assaults in 2018 appears to be an anomaly rather than indicative of a broader trend, and the city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal to non-existent across all categories of violent crime.