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Violent Crime Trends in Bean Station: A Decade of Fluctuations and Overall Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bean Station, located in Tennessee, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2021, the city experienced fluctuations in both its total violent crimes and population. The total number of violent crimes peaked at 17 in 2012 and reached its lowest point of 1 in 2015. Meanwhile, the population grew from 5,639 in 2010 to 5,839 in 2021, an increase of about 3.5%.
Murder rates in the city have been relatively low, with only three reported cases over the 12-year period. These occurred in 2013 (2 cases) and 2018 (1 case). When adjusted for population, the murder rate peaked at 0.35 per 1,000 people in 2013. The percentage of state murders attributed to Bean Station reached its highest at 0.77% in 2013, dropping to 0.32% in 2018. These figures suggest that while murder is not a persistent issue, isolated incidents can significantly impact the city's crime statistics due to its small population.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic, with only four reported cases over the entire period. The highest number of rapes (2) occurred in 2012, resulting in a rate of 0.33 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state rape statistics peaked at 0.14% in the same year. The infrequency of reported rapes suggests that this crime is not a prevalent issue in the community, but when it does occur, it has a noticeable impact on the city's crime rates.
Robbery trends show a decline over time. The highest number of robberies (5) was reported in 2011, translating to a rate of 0.85 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics peaked at 0.07% in the same year. By 2021, no robberies were reported, indicating a positive trend in this category of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in the city. The number of cases peaked at 15 in 2012, resulting in a rate of 2.46 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics reached its highest at 0.07% in the same year. Although there have been fluctuations, the general trend shows a decrease, with 9 cases reported in 2021, representing a rate of 1.54 per 1,000 people.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. Years with higher population density, such as 2012 (1,015 people per square mile) and 2014 (1,013 people per square mile), also saw higher numbers of violent crimes (17 and 13 respectively). Conversely, years with lower population density, like 2015 (984 people per square mile) and 2017 (910 people per square mile), experienced fewer violent crimes (1 and 4 respectively).
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. This prediction is based on the general downward trend observed in recent years, particularly in robbery and aggravated assault cases. However, given the city's small population, occasional spikes due to isolated incidents may still occur.
In conclusion, Bean Station has shown overall improvement in its violent crime rates over the past decade, despite some fluctuations. The correlation between population density and crime rates suggests that managing urban growth and maintaining community cohesion could be key factors in sustaining this positive trend. As the city moves forward, continued focus on crime prevention strategies and community engagement will be crucial in maintaining and improving public safety.
