Robbery has been an infrequent occurrence in the city. There were only three reported robberies over the 13-year period: one each in 2012, 2017, and 2020. The highest percentage of state robberies was 0.03% in 2020, with a rate of 0.18 per 1,000 people. The rarity of robberies suggests that it is not a significant concern for the city's law enforcement.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Decherd. The number of incidents peaked at 22 in 2020, representing 0.09% of the state's total and a rate of 4 per 1,000 people. The lowest number was 5 incidents in 2011 and 2013. In 2022, there were 12 aggravated assaults, representing 0.05% of the state's total and a rate of 2.21 per 1,000 people. This indicates a slight downward trend in recent years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,009 per square mile in 2010 to 1,133 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also showed an upward trend. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the increase in median rent, which rose from $579 in 2013 to $900 in 2022, and the fluctuations in violent crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it is anticipated that the city will continue to experience fluctuations in violent crime rates. However, the overall trend is expected to show a slight decrease, particularly in aggravated assaults, which have been declining in recent years. The murder rate is likely to remain very low, with the possibility of zero incidents in most years.

In summary, Decherd has experienced variable violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city has managed to maintain low rates of murder and robbery, while rape incidents have shown improvement in recent years. The correlation between population density, median rent, and crime rates suggests that as the city continues to grow and develop, targeted strategies may be necessary to mitigate potential increases in violent crime. Overall, the trends indicate that Decherd is making progress in maintaining public safety, with violent crime rates expected to stabilize or slightly decrease in the coming years.