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Violent Crime Trends in Appleton City, Missouri: A Decade of Fluctuations and Stability
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Appleton City, Missouri, a small urban area in the heart of the state, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates alongside modest population changes over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, ranging from a high of 8 incidents in 2014 to a low of 0 in 2013. The population during this period saw a slight overall decline, from 2,050 in 2010 to 1,997 in 2022, representing a 2.59% decrease.
The city has not recorded any murders or non-negligent manslaughters from 2010 to 2019, maintaining a consistent 0% of the state's total for this crime category. This absence of homicides, despite population fluctuations, suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe violent crimes. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0 throughout the observed period, indicating a stable situation regarding lethal violence.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. Only one rape was reported in 2010, accounting for 0.09% of the state's total that year. From 2011 to 2019, no rapes were reported, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people. This dramatic decrease from 0.49 per 1,000 in 2010 to 0 in subsequent years suggests an improvement in sexual violence prevention or reporting practices.
Robbery has been consistently absent from the city's crime statistics throughout the recorded period. From 2010 to 2019, no robberies were reported, maintaining a 0% share of the state's total and a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. This consistent lack of robberies indicates a community where property-related violent crimes are exceptionally rare.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though its occurrence has been variable. The number of incidents ranged from a high of 8 in 2014 to a low of 0 in 2013. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 3.77 in 2014 and dropped to 1.01 in 2019. The city's share of state aggravated assaults fluctuated between 0% and 0.06%, with the highest percentage in 2014. These fluctuations suggest localized factors influencing assault rates, potentially tied to specific events or community dynamics.
A notable correlation exists between population density and violent crime rates. Years with higher population density, such as 2014 with 1,850 people per square mile, coincided with higher violent crime incidents (8 that year). Conversely, years with lower density, like 2013 with 1,746 people per square mile, saw fewer or no violent crimes. This suggests that increased population density may contribute to higher crime rates in this small urban setting.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's projected that by 2029, Appleton City may experience a slight increase in aggravated assaults, potentially reaching 3-4 incidents annually. However, other violent crime categories are expected to remain at or near zero, barring significant changes in local conditions or demographics.
In summary, Appleton City has maintained a relatively low violent crime profile, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with rare instances of rape, paints a picture of a generally safe small city. The correlation between population density and crime rates suggests that community planning and resource allocation should consider this relationship to maintain public safety as the city evolves.
