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Violent Crime Trends in Anthony, Kansas: Population Decline and Fluctuating Assault Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Anthony, located in Kansas, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade, alongside a gradual decline in population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased by 500%, from 1 to 6 incidents. During the same period, the city's population decreased by 9.27%, from 2,890 to 2,622 residents.
The murder rate in Anthony has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is noteworthy, especially considering the population decline. The city has maintained a 0% contribution to the state's murder statistics, indicating a relatively safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. The city recorded no rapes in 2010, 2011, and 2012. However, there was a spike in 2014 with 5 reported cases, representing 0.63% of the state's total. This translated to a rate of 1.78 rapes per 1,000 people. By 2022, the number decreased to 3 cases, or 0.31% of the state's total, with a rate of 1.14 per 1,000 people. This fluctuation suggests a need for ongoing vigilance and support services for sexual assault prevention and victim assistance.
Robbery rates in Anthony have consistently remained at zero from 2010 to 2022. This absence of reported robberies, despite the overall increase in violent crimes, indicates that property-related violent offenses are not a significant concern in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the primary driver of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which increased to a peak of 14 cases in 2013, representing 0.24% of the state's total. This spike resulted in a rate of 5.05 aggravated assaults per 1,000 people. By 2022, the number decreased to 3 cases, or 0.04% of the state's total, with a rate of 1.14 per 1,000 people. This overall increase, followed by a decline, suggests evolving community dynamics that may have influenced interpersonal violence rates.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's declining population density and fluctuations in violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 896 people per square mile in 2010 to 813 in 2022, violent crime rates initially increased but then stabilized. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between changes in median rent and violent crime rates, with periods of higher rent coinciding with lower crime rates in some years.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it's projected that Anthony may experience a slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. This prediction is based on the recent downward trend observed from 2020 to 2022 and assumes similar socioeconomic conditions persist.
In summary, Anthony has faced challenges with violent crime, particularly aggravated assaults, over the past decade. However, the absence of murders and robberies, combined with recent declines in rape and aggravated assault cases, suggests an improving safety situation. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite population decline is noteworthy and may indicate effective community policing strategies or social cohesion. Moving forward, continued focus on assault prevention and maintaining the positive trends in other violent crime categories will be crucial for Anthony's safety and quality of life.
