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Violent Crime Trends in Andrews: North Carolina Town Shows Mixed Progress
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Andrews, located in North Carolina, has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the years, set against a backdrop of varying population trends. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 40%, from 10 to 6 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 6%, from 4,888 to 4,592 residents.
The city has maintained a consistently low murder rate, with no reported cases of murder or nonnegligent manslaughter in the available data for 2011, 2014, 2015, and 2022. This indicates a stable trend of 0 murders per 1,000 people and a consistent 0% of the state's murder rate. The absence of murders contributes positively to the city's overall safety profile.
Rape incidents show a significant increase in recent years. While data for 2011, 2014, and 2015 is not available, in 2022, there were 4 reported rape cases. This translates to approximately 0.87 incidents per 1,000 people and represents 0.21% of the state's total rape cases. The emergence of reported rape cases indicates a need for increased attention to sexual violence prevention and support services in the community.
Robbery rates in the city have shown a decrease over time. In 2011, there was 1 reported robbery, representing 0.01% of the state's total. By 2014, this number remained at 1, but the percentage of state robberies increased slightly to 0.02%. In 2015 and 2022, no robberies were reported, indicating a positive trend in this category of violent crime.
Aggravated assault cases have fluctuated over the years. In 2011, there were 9 cases (1.84 per 1,000 people), representing 0.07% of the state's total. This decreased to 3 cases in 2014 (0.65 per 1,000 people and 0.02% of state total), then rose back to 9 cases in 2015 (1.99 per 1,000 people and 0.07% of state total). By 2022, aggravated assaults had decreased to 2 cases (0.44 per 1,000 people and 0.01% of state total), showing an overall downward trend.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's demographic changes and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 89% in 2017 to 84% in 2022, there was a slight increase in overall violent crimes, particularly in rape cases. Additionally, the Hispanic population grew from 4% to 9% during this period, coinciding with these crime rate changes.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential slight increase in overall violent crimes if current demographic shifts continue. Rape cases may continue to be a concern, while robbery rates are likely to remain low. Aggravated assaults may fluctuate but are expected to stay below the 2011 levels.
In summary, Andrews has shown a mixed picture of violent crime trends over the past decade. While murder and robbery rates have remained consistently low or nonexistent, the recent emergence of rape cases and fluctuations in aggravated assaults present areas for focused crime prevention efforts. The changing demographic composition of the city appears to have some correlation with these crime trends, suggesting a need for community-based initiatives that address the evolving needs of a diversifying population.
