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Violent Crime Surge in Normandy, Missouri: A Small City's Disproportionate Struggle
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Normandy, Missouri, a small city of just 1.85 square miles, has experienced a significant increase in violent crime over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes rose by 250%, from 38 to 133 incidents. This surge occurred despite a population decline of 4.46%, with the city's population decreasing from 5,939 in 2010 to 5,674 in 2022.
The murder rate in Normandy has shown a concerning upward trend. In 2010, there were no reported murders, but by 2022, the number had risen to 6. This translates to a murder rate of approximately 1.06 per 1,000 residents in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's total murders also rose dramatically, from 0% in 2010 to 1.12% in 2022, indicating that the city's murder rate was growing faster than the state average.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years but show an overall increase. In 2010, there was 1 reported rape, which increased to 5 in 2022. This change represents a rise from 0.17 to 0.88 rapes per 1,000 residents. The city's percentage of state rape cases increased from 0.09% in 2010 to 0.24% in 2022, suggesting a growing problem relative to the rest of the state.
Robbery trends in Normandy have been more volatile. The number of robberies decreased from 8 in 2010 to 5 in 2022. However, due to the population decline, the robbery rate per 1,000 residents only marginally decreased from 1.35 in 2010 to 0.88 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases increased slightly from 0.14% to 0.16% over this period.
Aggravated assaults have seen the most dramatic increase in Normandy. In 2010, there were 29 reported cases, which skyrocketed to 117 in 2022. This translates to a rate increase from 4.88 to 20.62 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state aggravated assaults grew from 0.2% to 0.67%, indicating a significantly worsening situation compared to the state average.
There appears to be a correlation between the increase in violent crime and changes in the racial composition of Normandy. The percentage of Black residents decreased slightly from 78% in 2013 to 76% in 2022, while the White population remained stable at 16% over the same period. This shift coincides with the rise in violent crime rates, particularly aggravated assaults.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029, Normandy could see total violent crimes reach approximately 200 incidents annually if current trends continue. This would represent a further 50% increase from 2022 levels.
In summary, Normandy has experienced a troubling rise in violent crime, particularly in murders and aggravated assaults, despite a declining population. The city's contribution to state crime figures has increased across all categories, indicating a disproportionate growth in crime compared to the rest of Missouri. These trends, coupled with demographic shifts, suggest a need for targeted interventions to address the root causes of rising violence in this small urban community.
