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Violent Crime Decline in Fort Deposit, Alabama: A Decade of Change
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Fort Deposit, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city decreased from 14 to 11, representing a 21.4% reduction. During this same period, the population increased from 2,333 to 2,543, a growth of 9%. This initial overview suggests a positive trend of decreasing crime rates despite population growth.
The data provided shows no reported murders in Fort Deposit for the years 2010, 2011, and 2022. This consistent absence of murders indicates a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at 0 throughout this period, and the percentage of state crime for murder was also 0%. This trend suggests that the city has maintained a high level of safety regarding homicides, which is a positive indicator for the community's overall well-being.
Similarly, there were no reported cases of rape in the city for the years 2010, 2011, and 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for rape both remained at 0%. This consistent absence of reported rapes over the years indicates a positive trend in terms of sexual violence prevention or reporting in the community.
Robbery trends show some fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2011, there was 1 reported robbery, which represented 0.02% of the state's robberies. By 2022, the number of robberies remained at 1, but the percentage of state robberies increased to 0.08%. The robbery rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 0 in 2010 to 0.39 in 2022. While this represents an increase, the overall numbers remain low, suggesting that robbery is not a major concern in the city.
Aggravated assault cases show a significant decrease over time. In 2010, there were 14 reported cases, representing 0.23% of the state's aggravated assaults. This number dropped to 3 cases in 2011 (0.03% of state cases) and then increased slightly to 10 cases in 2022 (0.09% of state cases). The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people decreased from 6.0 in 2010 to 3.93 in 2022. This overall reduction in aggravated assaults, despite some fluctuation, indicates an improvement in public safety regarding this type of violent crime.
There appears to be a correlation between the racial composition of the city and violent crime trends. As the percentage of Black residents increased from 73% in 2013 to 84% in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the changing racial demographics have not led to an increase in violent crime, contrary to some stereotypes.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, we can forecast that violent crime rates in Fort Deposit are likely to continue their overall downward trend over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of violent crimes could potentially decrease to around 8-9 incidents per year, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the most common form of violent crime.
In summary, Fort Deposit has shown a promising trend of decreasing violent crime rates despite population growth from 2010 to 2022. The absence of murders and rapes, coupled with low robbery rates and decreasing aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a community that has made significant strides in improving public safety. The correlation between changing racial demographics and decreasing crime rates challenges negative stereotypes and suggests a cohesive community environment. If current trends continue, Fort Deposit is likely to experience further improvements in its violent crime statistics in the coming years, potentially positioning it as a model for small town safety in Alabama.
