Robbery trends in Sylvania show a consistent pattern of zero incidents from 2010 to 2022. This absence of robberies has remained stable despite population growth, resulting in a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the period. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has consistently been 0%, suggesting effective crime prevention strategies or possibly underreporting.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there was 1 aggravated assault, representing 0.22 incidents per 1,000 people. This number remained steady at 1 incident per year from 2010 to 2013. In 2014, aggravated assaults dropped to 0, but then spiked to 5 incidents in 2021, resulting in a rate of 0.94 per 1,000 people. The percentage of state aggravated assaults attributable to Sylvania peaked at 0.06% in 2021. However, in 2022, aggravated assaults dropped back to 0, showing significant volatility in this crime category.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, population density shows a weak positive correlation with violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 534 people per square mile in 2010 to 568 in 2022, there were slight increases in violent crime, particularly notable in 2021. However, this correlation is not strong or consistent enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the low crime rates observed in 2022. However, given the volatility seen in recent years, particularly the spike in 2021 followed by a drop in 2022, predictions should be approached with caution. The forecast indicates that Sylvania may experience sporadic incidents of violent crime, likely in the form of aggravated assaults, but is expected to maintain generally low crime rates.

In summary, Sylvania has demonstrated a relatively stable and low violent crime environment from 2010 to 2022, with the exception of a spike in 2021. The most significant trend has been in aggravated assaults, which have shown the most variability. The town's ability to maintain zero incidents in several violent crime categories over multiple years, despite population growth, suggests effective law enforcement and community safety measures. However, the sudden increase in 2021 followed by a return to zero incidents in 2022 highlights the potential for fluctuations in crime rates in small communities like Sylvania.