Loading Content...
Stable Violent Crime Trends in Brown City, Michigan: A Decade of Low Incident Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Brown City, Michigan, a small urban area with a population of 4,542 in 2022, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 1 to 3 incidents annually, showing no consistent trend. During this period, the population grew slightly from 4,509 in 2011 to 4,542 in 2022, an increase of 0.73%.
The city has reported no murders from 2011 to 2022, maintaining a consistent 0% of the state's murder rate. This absence of murders, regardless of population changes, indicates a relatively safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in Brown City have fluctuated over the years. The city reported no rapes in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2019, and 2020. The highest number of rapes (2) occurred in 2012 and 2014, representing 0.1% and 0.07% of the state's total rapes, respectively. In 2022, there was 1 reported rape, equating to 0.22 incidents per 1,000 people and 0.03% of the state's total. The inconsistent pattern suggests no clear trend in rape occurrences relative to population growth.
Robbery incidents have been rare in Brown City. Only one robbery was reported in 2013, accounting for 0.01% of the state's total robberies that year. For all other years in the dataset, no robberies were reported. This indicates that robbery is not a significant concern for the city, with a rate of 0.22 incidents per 1,000 people in 2013 and 0 for all other years.
Aggravated assault has been the most consistent form of violent crime in Brown City. The number of incidents ranged from 0 to 3 per year. The highest number (3) occurred in 2020, representing 0.01% of the state's total aggravated assaults. In 2022, there was 1 reported aggravated assault, equating to 0.22 incidents per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's total. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0 and 0.65 over the years.
There appears to be a weak correlation between violent crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 3,976 per square mile in 2011 to 4,005 per square mile in 2022, the number of violent crimes remained relatively stable. No strong correlations were observed between violent crime trends and median rent or race distribution.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that the city is likely to maintain its low and stable violent crime rate. Based on historical data, we can expect the total number of violent crimes to continue fluctuating between 1 and 3 incidents annually, with aggravated assault remaining the most common form of violent crime.
In summary, Brown City has maintained a relatively low and stable violent crime rate over the past decade. The absence of murders, rare occurrences of robberies, and fluctuating but low numbers of rapes and aggravated assaults paint a picture of a generally safe community. The city's small size and stable population contribute to this trend, and barring any significant changes in socioeconomic factors, this pattern is likely to continue in the near future.
