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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Morningside, a neighborhood in Knoxville, Tennessee, has experienced significant changes in its housing market over the past decade. This analysis focuses on the trends in average home values, ownership rates, and rental patterns from 2013 to 2024, with projections extending to 2029. The neighborhood has shown resilience in maintaining a balance between homeownership and renting, despite substantial increases in property values.
The homeownership rate in Morningside has fluctuated between 28% and 35% from 2013 to 2022. Notably, the relationship between home prices and ownership rates has not been straightforward. In 2016, when the average home price was $64,060, the homeownership rate peaked at 35%. This same rate was observed in 2022, despite average home prices more than doubling to $157,581. This suggests that factors beyond just home prices influence ownership rates in the neighborhood.
Federal interest rates have played a role in homeownership trends, but their impact has been inconsistent. In 2013, with interest rates at 0.11%, homeownership stood at 29%. As rates increased to 1.83% in 2018, ownership slightly increased to 31%. However, when rates dropped to 0.08% in 2021, ownership remained stable at 30%, indicating that local factors may have a stronger influence on homeownership in Morningside than national interest rates.
Renter percentages in Morningside have generally remained high, ranging from 64% to 72% between 2013 and 2022. Average rent prices have shown considerable variation during this period. In 2013, the average rent was $449, which decreased to $411 in 2015 despite a slight increase in the renter population. A significant jump occurred in 2017, with average rent reaching $617, coinciding with a peak in renter percentage at 71%. By 2022, average rent had moderated to $509, with renters comprising 65% of the population.
As of 2024, the average home price in Morningside has reached $200,277, a substantial increase from $183,996 in 2023. This growth occurs against a backdrop of high federal interest rates, which stand at 5.33% in 2024, up from 5.02% in 2023. These figures indicate a continued strong demand for housing in the area, even in the face of less favorable borrowing conditions.
Looking ahead, predictive models suggest that average home prices in Morningside may continue to rise over the next five years, potentially reaching around $250,000 by 2029. Average rent prices are also expected to increase, albeit at a more moderate pace, potentially reaching $600-$650 per month in the same timeframe.
In summary, Morningside has demonstrated resilience in its housing market, with rising home values and a relatively stable mix of owners and renters. The neighborhood's ability to maintain homeownership rates despite increasing prices suggests a strong local economy and desirability. As the area continues to evolve, it's likely to remain an attractive location for both homeowners and renters, with a trend towards higher property values and rents in the coming years.