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Red Boiling Springs: Fluctuating Violent Crime Trends in a Small Tennessee City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Red Boiling Springs, located in Tennessee, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the past decade, this small city has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates, set against a backdrop of population changes. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, ranging from a low of 1 incident in 2013, 2017, and 2020 to a peak of 9 incidents in 2018. During this same period, the population decreased from 3,532 in 2010 to 3,327 in 2020, a 5.8% decline.
The city has fortunately not recorded any murders from 2010 to 2020, maintaining a consistent 0% of the state's murder rate. This absence of homicides, despite population fluctuations, suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero throughout this period, indicating a stable situation regarding homicides.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. The data shows only two reported cases, one in 2017 and another in 2018, each representing 0.06% of the state's total rape cases for those years. The rape rate per 1,000 people was 0.34 in 2017 and 0.35 in 2018. While any incident of rape is concerning, the low frequency suggests it is not a persistent problem in the community.
Robbery trends in the city have also been minimal. There were only three reported robberies over the decade: one in 2010 (0.01% of state total), and two in 2014 (0.03% of state total). The robbery rate per 1,000 people was highest in 2014 at 0.75. The infrequency of robberies indicates that this form of crime is not a significant issue for the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated, with peaks of 8 cases in 2016, 2018, and 2019, each representing 0.04% of the state's total. The highest rate per 1,000 people was 2.87 in 2016. Despite these fluctuations, aggravated assault remains relatively low compared to larger urban areas.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,018 per square mile in 2010 to 1,901 per square mile in 2020, violent crime incidents showed some variability but no consistent trend. The racial composition of the city, predominantly white (ranging from 82% to 97% during the period), doesn't show a strong correlation with crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in the city will likely remain low but fluctuating over the next five years (up to 2029). The sporadic nature of violent crimes in such a small community makes precise predictions challenging, but the overall trend suggests a continuation of relatively low crime rates with occasional spikes, particularly in aggravated assaults.
In conclusion, Red Boiling Springs demonstrates a pattern of generally low violent crime rates with occasional fluctuations. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and fluctuating but relatively low rates of aggravated assault paint a picture of a community that, while not crime-free, maintains a relatively safe environment for its residents. The city's small size and demographic stability likely contribute to these trends, suggesting that community-based approaches to crime prevention may be effective in maintaining public safety.
