Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Truesdale, Missouri: A Decade of Resilience and Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Truesdale, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its property crime rates and population. The total number of property crimes varied from a low of 6 in 2018 to a high of 26 in 2015, showing a 12.5% decrease from 2010 to 2022. During this same period, the population saw an overall decrease of 15.9%, from 1,235 in 2010 to 1,039 in 2022.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant volatility. The number of burglaries peaked at 11 in 2013, representing a rate of 7.88 per 1,000 residents. However, by 2022, burglaries had dropped to zero, a 100% decrease from 2010. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to the city fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.04% in 2013 before falling to 0% in 2022. This trend suggests an improving situation regarding break-ins and unauthorized entries in the community.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 3 in 2010 and 2013 to a high of 19 in 2015. In 2022, there were 8 larceny-theft cases, representing a rate of 7.70 per 1,000 residents, an increase from 2.43 per 1,000 in 2010. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained relatively stable, consistently around 0.01% throughout the period. This indicates that while larceny-theft remains a concern, its prevalence relative to state figures has not significantly changed.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been relatively low, with several years reporting zero incidents. The highest number recorded was 2 in 2020, equating to a rate of 1.61 per 1,000 residents. In 2022, there was 1 reported case, or 0.96 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures has remained minimal, never exceeding 0.01%. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a major concern for the community compared to other property crimes.
Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only one reported incident in 2016. This single case represented 0.12% of state arson cases for that year. The lack of consistent arson reports indicates that it is not a significant ongoing issue for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $31,044 in 2013 to $52,454 in 2022, the overall property crime rate showed a general downward trend. Additionally, there seems to be a positive correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing and reduced property crime rates. As the percentage of owner-occupied housing rose from 44% in 2013 to 62% in 2022, property crime rates generally declined.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall downward trend. Based on current patterns, it's projected that the total number of property crimes could decrease by approximately 15-20% by 2029. Larceny-theft is expected to remain the most common property crime, while burglary and motor vehicle theft rates are likely to remain low or potentially decrease further.
In summary, Truesdale has shown resilience in managing property crime over the past decade. The most significant improvements have been in burglary rates, which have dropped to zero. While larceny-theft remains a concern, its rate relative to the state has remained stable. The increase in median income and owner-occupied housing appears to correlate with improved property crime statistics, suggesting that economic growth and community stability may play roles in crime reduction. As the city moves forward, maintaining focus on economic development and community engagement could further enhance its ability to manage and reduce property crime rates.
