Motor vehicle theft trends showed more volatility. From 1 incident in 2010, it increased to 7 in 2022, a 600% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 0.23 in 2010 to 2.13 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased dramatically from 0.01% to 0.07% during this period. This trend is concerning and suggests a growing problem with vehicle security in the area.

Arson cases in the city were sporadic and relatively rare. There were no reported cases in most years, with occasional spikes such as 2 cases in 2013, 2016, and 2019. Due to the infrequent nature of these incidents, it's difficult to establish a clear trend or meaningful rate per 1,000 residents.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income increased from $24,667 in 2013 to $36,128 in 2022, overall property crime rates tended to decrease. Additionally, there's a weak positive correlation between homeownership rates and reduced property crime, with ownership percentages increasing from 48% in 2013 to 52% in 2022 as crime rates generally declined.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the overall downward trend in property crimes to continue, albeit at a slower rate. Burglaries and larceny-theft are likely to stabilize around current levels, while motor vehicle thefts may continue to pose a challenge, potentially increasing slightly.

In summary, Tishomingo has made significant strides in reducing overall property crime rates, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft. However, the rise in motor vehicle thefts presents a growing concern that may require targeted interventions. The city's improving economic indicators, such as rising median income and homeownership rates, appear to correlate with these positive trends in crime reduction, suggesting that continued focus on economic development could further enhance public safety in the coming years.