Motor vehicle theft in the city has shown an upward trend. From zero reported cases in 2010, it increased to 2 cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 0 to 0.41 over this period. More notably, the city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures increased significantly from 0% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2022, suggesting a growing concern in this area relative to state trends.

Arson data for the city is largely unavailable, with most years reporting zero incidents. This lack of data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 534 people per square mile in 2010 to 568 in 2022, there was a general decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that increased urbanization may have contributed to improved security measures or community vigilance.

The median income in the city rose from $45,825 in 2013 to $52,316 in 2022, an increase of 14.2%. During this period, property crimes decreased, potentially indicating a correlation between improved economic conditions and reduced property crime rates.

Interestingly, the percentage of owner-occupied housing decreased from 91% in 2013 to 82% in 2022. This decline in homeownership coincided with the overall reduction in property crimes, particularly larceny-theft, suggesting that changes in housing tenure may not have significantly impacted property crime rates in this case.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are expected to remain relatively steady, while larceny-theft may continue its downward trend. Motor vehicle theft, however, could see a slight increase if current trends persist.

In summary, Sylvania has experienced a general decline in property crime rates over the past decade, despite population growth. The most significant reductions were seen in larceny-theft, while motor vehicle theft has emerged as a growing concern. These trends, coupled with demographic changes such as increasing population density and median income, paint a picture of a city undergoing transformation. As Sylvania continues to evolve, maintaining focus on community-based crime prevention strategies and addressing emerging challenges like motor vehicle theft will be crucial for sustaining and improving upon these positive trends in property crime reduction.