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Property Crime Trends in Stanley, North Carolina: A Decade of Fluctuations and Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Stanley, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2018, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable decrease from 110 incidents in 2010 to 123 in 2018, representing an 11.8% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 8,260 in 2010 to 8,559 in 2022, a 3.6% increase, suggesting that crime rates did not directly correlate with population growth.
Burglary trends in the city showed a general decline over the years. In 2010, there were 48 burglaries, which decreased to 30 by 2018, a 37.5% reduction. When considering population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 5.81 in 2010 to 3.73 in 2018. Interestingly, while burglaries decreased, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.09% in 2010 to 0.13% in 2018, indicating a potential shift in regional crime patterns.
Larceny-theft incidents fluctuated over the years but showed an overall increase. In 2010, there were 62 larceny-theft cases, which rose to 86 in 2018, a 38.7% increase. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 7.51 in 2010 to 10.70 in 2018. The city's share of state larceny-theft crimes doubled from 0.05% in 2010 to 0.10% in 2018, suggesting a disproportionate increase compared to state trends.
Motor vehicle theft trends showed significant variation. From zero incidents in 2010, the number increased to 7 in 2018. This rise is particularly notable when considering the rate per 1,000 people, which went from 0 to 0.87. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also increased from 0% to 0.08%, indicating a growing concern in this area of property crime.
Arson cases in the city were sporadic, with 2 incidents in 2010, none reported in several years, and no data available for 2018. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, from 0.24 in 2010 to 0 in several years. The city's share of state arson cases varied greatly, from 0.20% in 2010 to 0.30% in 2015, with no data for other years, making it difficult to establish a clear trend.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $45,897 in 2013 to $58,963 in 2019, overall property crime rates tended to decrease. However, this correlation is not consistent across all years and types of property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Stanley may see a slight increase in overall property crimes, potentially reaching around 135-140 incidents annually. This forecast assumes current trends continue and no significant changes in socioeconomic factors or law enforcement strategies occur.
In summary, Stanley has experienced varied trends across different types of property crimes. While burglaries have decreased, larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft have shown increases. The city's share of state crime percentages has generally increased across categories, suggesting a need for targeted crime prevention strategies. The relationship between economic factors and crime rates indicates that continued focus on economic development could potentially help in further reducing property crime rates in the coming years.
