Motor vehicle theft in the city has been sporadic, with several years reporting zero incidents. The highest number recorded was 2 incidents in 2013, 2017, 2021, and 2022. Given the small numbers, the rate per 1,000 people has remained low, reaching a maximum of 0.97 in 2022. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft cases has been minimal, never exceeding 0.06% and standing at 0.04% in 2022. This indicates that motor vehicle theft is not a major concern for the city compared to other property crimes.

Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only three reported incidents over the entire period: one each in 2012, 2013, and 2016. The rate per 1,000 people for these years was approximately 0.4. The city's contribution to state arson cases in these years ranged from 0.28% to 0.33%. The absence of arson cases in recent years suggests that it is not a persistent problem for the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate negative correlation between population density and property crime rates. As the population density decreased from 859 per square mile in 2010 to 526 in 2022, the overall property crime rate per 1,000 people showed a general downward trend, despite some fluctuations.

The racial composition of the city has remained relatively stable, with the Black population consistently representing about half of the total (48% in 2022), and the White population decreasing slightly from 49% in 2013 to 40% in 2022. This stability in racial demographics suggests that changes in property crime rates are likely influenced by other factors.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall downward trend in total property crimes. However, given the relatively small population and the variability in year-to-year data, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously. The model estimates that by 2029, the city might see total property crimes in the range of 15-20 incidents annually, assuming current trends and factors remain consistent.

In summary, Stamps has experienced a notable decrease in overall property crime numbers over the past decade, aligning with its significant population decline. However, when adjusted for population, crime rates have remained relatively stable for most categories. The city's contribution to state-wide property crime figures has generally been low and consistent. The most significant trend has been the reduction in burglaries, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state totals. As the city continues to evolve, monitoring these trends will be crucial for maintaining community safety and allocating resources effectively.