Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Screven, Georgia: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Screven, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2017, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 10 in 2010, dropping to 5 in 2011, and then gradually increasing to 23 by 2017. This represents a 130% increase in property crimes over this period. Concurrently, the population experienced fluctuations, growing from 1,750 in 2010 to 1,980 in 2022, an overall increase of 13.14%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown significant volatility. In 2010, there were 5 burglaries, which dropped to zero in 2011, and then fluctuated between 1 and 5 cases annually until 2017. The burglary rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2015 at 2.73, dropping to 1.87 per 1,000 by 2017. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained relatively low, ranging from 0% to 0.02% over the years, indicating that while burglary is a concern locally, it has minimal impact on statewide figures.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. Starting with 5 cases in 2010, it remained stable until 2014 when it began to increase, reaching a high of 40 cases in 2016 before dropping to 19 in 2017. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 2.86 in 2010 to 23.15 in 2016, then decreased to 11.82 in 2017. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics increased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2016, suggesting a growing local issue that began to impact state-level statistics more significantly.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been relatively low and inconsistent. There were no reported cases from 2010 to 2012, followed by 2 cases annually from 2013 to 2016, dropping to 1 case in 2017. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 1.16 in 2016 and fell to 0.62 in 2017. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics remained minimal, never exceeding 0.02%, indicating that this crime type has limited local and state-level impact.
Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only one reported case in 2010, representing 0.24% of state arson cases that year. No arson cases were reported from 2011 to 2016, and data for 2017 was unavailable. This suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $35,214 in 2013 to $52,197 in 2019, overall property crime rates showed a general decline. However, this correlation is not perfect, as evidenced by the spike in property crimes in 2016 despite rising incomes.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime rates in the city may stabilize or slightly decrease if current economic trends continue. The larceny-theft rate is expected to remain the primary contributor to property crime, potentially averaging around 15-20 cases per year.
In summary, Screven has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the past decade, with larceny-theft emerging as the most significant concern. While burglary and motor vehicle theft have shown variability, their impact on state-level statistics remains minimal. The inverse correlation between rising median incomes and declining property crime rates suggests that continued economic improvement could lead to further reductions in criminal activity. However, ongoing monitoring and targeted prevention strategies will be crucial to maintain and improve public safety in the coming years.
