Motor vehicle theft in the city has seen fluctuations but an overall decrease. From 6 incidents in 2010, it reduced to 2 in 2022, a 66.7% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 4.62 in 2010 to 1.32 in 2022. The city's percentage of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.1% to 0.03% over this period, showing improvement both locally and in relation to state figures.

Arson data for the city is limited, with only two years reporting incidents: 1 case in 2011 and 1 in 2021. This sporadic occurrence makes it difficult to establish a clear trend. However, it's worth noting that when arson did occur, it represented a significant portion of state arson cases (0.18% in 2011 and 0.76% in 2021), despite the city's small size.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income increased from $46,717 in 2013 to $53,032 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 41 to 22. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Sardis City could see further reductions in property crime. Total property crimes might decrease to around 15-18 incidents annually, with burglaries potentially dropping to 3-4 cases, larceny-theft to 10-12 cases, and motor vehicle theft to 1-2 cases per year.

In summary, Sardis City has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crime rates from 2010 to 2022, despite population growth. This positive trend, coupled with rising median incomes, suggests an improving quality of life for residents. The city's contribution to state-wide property crimes has generally decreased, indicating that local crime reduction efforts may be more effective than the state average. These trends, if sustained, point towards a safer future for Sardis City, with continued decreases in property crime rates projected over the next five years.