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Property Crime Trends in Philadelphia, Mississippi: A Decade of Fluctuations and Improvements
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Philadelphia, Mississippi, a city with a population of 11,717 in 2022, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates over the years. From 2010 to 2014, the total number of property crimes decreased by 28.86%, from 440 to 313 incidents. During this same period, the city's population increased slightly by 1.43%, from 12,196 to 12,371 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 212 burglaries, which decreased to 84 by 2014, representing a 60.38% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 17.38 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 6.79 per 1,000 in 2014. The city's share of state burglaries also declined from 1.23% in 2010 to 0.92% in 2014. This substantial decrease in burglaries suggests improved security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents fluctuated over the observed period. Starting at 216 cases in 2010, it rose to 271 in 2011, then decreased to 146 in 2013, before increasing again to 223 in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people varied accordingly, from 17.71 in 2010 to 18.03 in 2014. The city's proportion of state larceny-thefts increased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.89% in 2014, indicating that while local numbers fluctuated, the city's share of state incidents grew.
Motor vehicle theft showed an overall declining trend, dropping from 12 incidents in 2010 to 6 in 2014, a 50% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.98 to 0.49 over this period. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased slightly from 0.37% to 0.29%, suggesting a modest improvement relative to statewide trends.
Arson cases in the city were minimal, with only 2 reported incidents in 2010 and no reported cases from 2011 to 2014. This represents a complete elimination of reported arson cases over the observed period, with the city's share of state arson cases dropping from 0.67% to 0%.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decrease in property crimes coincided with a slight increase in median income, from $39,316 in 2013 to $39,695 in 2014. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing remained stable at 71% during this period, which may have contributed to the overall reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall declining trend in property crimes. If current trends persist, burglaries could decrease further, potentially reaching around 50-60 incidents annually. Larceny-theft may stabilize around 200-220 cases per year, while motor vehicle theft might remain low at 4-6 incidents annually. Arson cases are likely to remain very rare or non-existent.
In summary, Philadelphia, Mississippi has demonstrated a generally positive trend in property crime reduction from 2010 to 2014. The most significant improvements were seen in burglary and motor vehicle theft rates, while larceny-theft showed more variability. The city's share of state property crimes has generally decreased or remained stable across categories, indicating that local crime reduction efforts may be outpacing statewide trends. These improvements, coupled with stable homeownership rates and modest income growth, suggest a potentially safer and more secure environment for residents in the coming years.
