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Property Crime Trends in Peculiar, Missouri: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Peculiar, Missouri, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates over the past decade, alongside significant population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased by 15.38%, from 91 to 105 incidents. During this same period, the population grew substantially by 20.08%, from 7,935 to 9,528 residents. This unique combination of crime rate changes and population growth provides an interesting backdrop for analyzing the city's property crime trends.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant fluctuations over time. In 2010, there were 28 burglaries, which decreased to 10 in 2022, representing a 64.29% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 3.53 in 2010 to 1.05 in 2022, a 70.25% drop. The city's share of state burglaries varied, starting at 0.09% in 2010, peaking at 0.17% in 2019, and settling at 0.08% in 2022. This overall downward trend in burglaries, despite population growth, suggests improved security measures or changes in local crime patterns.
Larceny theft incidents have remained relatively stable, with some fluctuations. In 2010, there were 60 cases, which increased to 85 in 2022, a 41.67% rise. However, when considering population growth, the rate per 1,000 people increased only slightly from 7.56 in 2010 to 8.92 in 2022, a 17.99% increase. The city's contribution to state larceny thefts doubled from 0.05% in 2010 to 0.11% in 2022. This trend indicates that while larceny theft has increased, it has largely kept pace with population growth, suggesting consistent patterns in this type of crime.
Motor vehicle theft has shown a concerning upward trend. In 2010, there were only 3 incidents, which increased to 10 in 2022, a substantial 233.33% increase. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.38 in 2010 to 1.05 in 2022, a 176.32% increase. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts grew from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2022. This significant increase, outpacing population growth, may indicate a need for targeted interventions in vehicle security.
Arson data for the city is limited and inconsistent, making it difficult to establish clear trends. Reported cases ranged from 0 to 8 between 2010 and 2022, with many years showing no data. The highest reported number was 8 cases in 2011, representing 0.84% of state arsons. Given the sporadic nature of the data, it's challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 875 per square mile in 2010 to 1,051 in 2022, total property crimes also showed an overall increase. This suggests that the growing concentration of people may have contributed to more opportunities for property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued moderate increase in overall property crimes, largely driven by larceny theft and motor vehicle theft. Burglaries are expected to remain relatively low or potentially decrease further.
In conclusion, Peculiar has experienced a complex evolution of property crime patterns amidst significant population growth. While burglaries have decreased substantially, larceny theft has remained proportional to population growth, and motor vehicle theft has seen a concerning increase. These trends highlight the need for targeted crime prevention strategies, particularly in addressing vehicle-related crimes, as the city continues to grow and develop.
