Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Odenville, Alabama, has experienced significant changes in property crime trends alongside substantial population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased by 27.5%, from 80 incidents to 58, while the population grew by 42%, from 6,765 to 9,609. This indicates a complex relationship between population growth and crime rates.
Burglary trends in Odenville have shown a general decline over the years. The number of burglaries reported decreased from 13 in 2010 to 9 in 2022, representing a 30.8% reduction. When considering the population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 people dropped from 1.92 in 2010 to 0.94 in 2022, a significant 51% decrease. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, rising from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, suggesting that while local burglaries decreased, they did not fall as rapidly as the state average.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed a downward trend. In 2010, 55 cases were reported, decreasing to 41 in 2022, a 25.5% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 8.13 in 2010 to 4.27 in 2022, a substantial 47.5% decrease. The city's proportion of state larceny-thefts increased slightly from 0.08% in 2010 to 0.09% in 2022, indicating that the local reduction was less pronounced than the state average.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more volatile. The number of incidents remained relatively stable, with 12 cases in 2010 and 8 in 2022, a 33.3% decrease. However, the rate per 1,000 people dropped from 1.77 in 2010 to 0.83 in 2022, a 53% reduction. Interestingly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.2% in 2010 to 0.12% in 2022, suggesting a more significant improvement compared to the state average.
Arson data for the city is largely unavailable, with only two incidents reported in 2011, representing 0.36% of state arsons that year. The lack of consistent data makes it challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 484 per square mile in 2010 to 688 in 2022, property crime rates per capita decreased, suggesting that increased urbanization did not lead to higher crime rates. The median income, available from 2013 onwards, showed a general upward trend until 2017, reaching $70,955, before declining to $56,225 in 2022. This decline coincided with a slight uptick in property crimes from 2020 to 2022, potentially indicating a relationship between economic factors and crime rates.
The racial composition of the city remained predominantly white throughout the period, with a slight decrease from 87% in 2013 to 88% in 2022. The black population increased from 8% in 2013 to 13% in 2019 before decreasing to 8% in 2022. These demographic shifts do not appear to have a strong correlation with property crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight increase in property crime rates. Based on the current trends and assuming continued population growth, the city might expect to see property crime incidents ranging from 60 to 70 per year by 2029. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously, as various factors, including economic conditions and law enforcement strategies, can significantly influence crime rates.
In conclusion, Odenville has demonstrated resilience in managing property crime rates despite significant population growth. The overall downward trend in property crimes per capita, particularly in burglaries and larceny-thefts, suggests effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. However, the recent slight uptick in crime rates, coupled with declining median income, highlights the need for continued vigilance and adaptive crime prevention measures to maintain the city's safety and security in the face of ongoing demographic and economic changes.