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Property Crime Trends in Miami, Oklahoma: A Decade of Change and Challenges
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Miami, Oklahoma, a city with a rich history rooted in Native American culture and mining, has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 21.2%, from 570 to 449 incidents. This reduction occurred alongside a population decline of 5.8%, from 15,946 to 15,018 residents during the same period.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable downward trend. In 2010, there were 105 burglaries, which decreased to 85 in 2022, representing a 19% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 6.58 to 5.66 per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, despite this local decrease, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.33% in 2010 to 0.53% in 2022. This suggests that while the city has made progress in reducing burglaries, the improvement has been less pronounced compared to the state average.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, also saw a significant decline. In 2010, there were 448 reported incidents, which dropped to 301 in 2022, a 32.8% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 28.09 to 20.04. However, similar to burglary, the city's proportion of state larceny thefts actually increased from 0.64% to 0.57% during this period, indicating that the reduction in larceny theft was less substantial than the state average.
Motor vehicle theft trends present a different picture. In 2010, there were 17 reported incidents, which increased to 63 in 2022, a dramatic 270.6% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents jumped from 1.07 to 4.19. More alarmingly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts surged from 0.19% to 0.61%, suggesting a significant local issue that outpaces state trends.
Arson cases in the city have fluctuated over the years but show an overall increase. From 4 incidents in 2010 to 9 in 2022, there was a 125% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 0.25 to 0.60. The city's proportion of state arson cases also increased substantially from 0.61% to 1.84%, indicating a growing concern relative to state trends.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $37,383 in 2013 to $41,004 in 2022, overall property crime rates decreased. Additionally, the decline in homeownership rates from 68% in 2013 to 61% in 2022 correlates with the increase in certain types of property crimes, particularly motor vehicle theft and arson.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued overall decrease in property crimes, with burglary and larceny theft likely to decline further. However, motor vehicle theft and arson are projected to increase if current trends persist. The total number of property crimes is expected to stabilize around 420-430 incidents annually by 2029.
In summary, Miami, Oklahoma has made significant strides in reducing overall property crime rates, particularly in burglary and larceny theft. However, the concerning rise in motor vehicle theft and arson rates suggests a need for targeted interventions. The correlation between rising incomes and declining crime rates offers a positive outlook, but the potential impact of decreasing homeownership rates on certain crime categories warrants attention. As the city continues to evolve, addressing these specific crime trends will be crucial for maintaining and improving community safety.
