Loading Content...
Canton, Oklahoma: Property Crime Trends in a Small Community with Remarkable Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Canton, Oklahoma, a small community with a population of 518 in 2022, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the past decade. From 2013 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased from 16 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population declined from 617 to 518, a 16.05% decrease.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant volatility. In 2013, there were 13 burglaries, which sharply declined to 1 in 2014. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 21.07 to 1.58 during this period. By 2022, burglaries had reduced to zero. The percentage of state burglaries attributable to the city fluctuated, peaking at 0.05% in 2013 and dropping to 0% by 2022. This trend suggests an overall improvement in burglary prevention or reporting within the community.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated a downward trend. From 3 cases in 2013, the number fluctuated, reaching 8 in 2019 and 2020, before dropping to zero in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents varied from 4.86 in 2013 to 14.21 in 2019, ultimately reaching zero in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics remained consistently low, never exceeding 0.01% when reported. This indicates that larceny-theft, while present, has not been a major concern relative to state-wide figures.
Motor vehicle theft showed an irregular pattern. There were no reported cases in 2013 and 2014, but the number rose to 4 in 2019, representing 7.1 thefts per 1,000 residents. By 2022, motor vehicle thefts had again reduced to zero. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts peaked at 0.04% in 2019 but remained at 0% for most other years. This suggests that while motor vehicle theft has been sporadic, it has not been a persistent issue in the community.
Arson cases in Canton have been consistently reported as zero from 2013 to 2022, indicating that this particular crime has not been a significant concern for the community during the observed period.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and homeownership percentages. As the percent of owner-occupied housing increased from 74% in 2013 to 89% in 2022, property crimes generally decreased. Additionally, the rise in median income from $39,742 in 2013 to $52,919 in 2022 coincided with the overall reduction in property crimes, suggesting a possible correlation between economic improvement and crime reduction.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it is anticipated that the city will maintain its low crime rates. Given the consistent decrease in property crimes over the past few years, with zero reported incidents in 2022, the model suggests that Canton is likely to continue experiencing very low to zero property crime rates in the coming years, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic factors or local policies.
In summary, Canton has shown a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The most significant discoveries include the complete elimination of reported property crimes by 2022, the potential positive impact of increased homeownership and rising median incomes on crime reduction, and the consistently low contribution to state-wide crime statistics. These trends paint a picture of a small community that has effectively addressed property crime issues, potentially through a combination of community engagement, economic improvement, and effective law enforcement strategies.
