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Property Crime Trends in McIntyre, Georgia: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
McIntyre, a town in Georgia, has experienced significant changes in property crime rates and population over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 89.2%, from 37 to 4 incidents. During this same period, the population declined by 31.3%, from 2,005 to 1,378 residents, indicating a substantial shift in both crime rates and demographics.
Burglary trends in the city show a notable decline over time. In 2010, there were 10 burglaries reported, which decreased to zero by 2022. This represents a 100% reduction in burglary incidents. When examining burglaries per 1,000 people, the rate dropped from 4.99 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to the city fluctuated, peaking at 0.04% in 2018 before falling to 0% in 2022. This significant decrease in burglaries suggests improved security measures or changes in local socio-economic conditions.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed a downward trend. In 2010, there were 24 reported cases, which decreased to 2 in 2022, representing a 91.7% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 11.97 in 2010 to 1.45 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft incidents remained relatively low, ranging from 0.01% to 0.04% over the years. This substantial decrease in larceny-theft could indicate improved community vigilance or enhanced law enforcement strategies.
Motor vehicle theft trends fluctuated over the years. From 3 incidents in 2010, it dropped to zero in several years before rising to 2 incidents in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people changed from 1.50 in 2010 to 1.45 in 2022. Notably, the city's percentage of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2019, despite the overall decrease in incidents. This suggests that while the absolute number of thefts decreased, the city's relative contribution to state figures increased slightly.
Arson incidents remained consistently at zero throughout the reported years, indicating no significant arson problem in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $30,144 in 2013 to $43,322 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 22 to 4. Additionally, there's a noticeable correlation between property crime rates and home ownership percentages. As the percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 78% in 2013 to 90% in 2022, property crimes decreased, suggesting that higher home ownership rates may contribute to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime rates in McIntyre could potentially decrease further, possibly reaching near-zero levels if current trends continue. However, this projection should be considered cautiously, as extremely low crime rates may be difficult to maintain consistently.
In summary, McIntyre has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes across all categories, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. This positive trend, coupled with increasing median income and home ownership rates, suggests an improving quality of life for residents. However, the concurrent population decline raises questions about the long-term sustainability of these trends and their impact on the town's overall development.
