Motor vehicle theft remained relatively low throughout the period. No incidents were reported from 2011 to 2015, but in 2016, there was 1 case, representing 0.01% of state motor vehicle thefts. This translates to a rate of 0.98 per 1,000 residents in 2016, indicating a new concern for the community.

Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the period from 2011 to 2016, suggesting this particular crime was not a significant issue for the city during these years.

A strong correlation is observed between the increase in property crimes and the decline in population density. As the population density decreased from 5,181 per square mile in 2011 to 3,449 in 2022, property crimes generally increased. This counterintuitive trend might suggest that the remaining population became more vulnerable to property crimes as the city depopulated.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it's projected that by 2029, Lynnview may see a slight increase in overall property crime rates if current trends continue. The burglary rate could potentially reach 5 per 1,000 residents, while larceny-theft might stabilize around 9 per 1,000 residents. Motor vehicle theft, having only recently emerged as an issue, could see sporadic incidents, potentially averaging 1-2 cases per year.

In summary, Lynnview has experienced a complex interplay between declining population and increasing property crime rates. The most significant discoveries include the sharp rise in larceny-theft, the persistent presence of burglaries despite population decrease, and the emergence of motor vehicle theft as a new concern. These trends, coupled with the continuing population decline, suggest that focused crime prevention strategies and community engagement initiatives may be crucial for maintaining public safety in Lynnview moving forward.